Fluminense

Fluminense

VS Scheduled Thursday 15 Oct 202601:30

South America 2026 CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-15	2026	Platense2–1Fluminense
2026-09-08	2026	Fluminense2–0Platense
2026-08-18	2026	Ind. Rivadavia1–1Fluminense
2026-08-11	2026	Fluminense0–0Ind. Rivadavia
2026-05-28	2026	Fluminense3–1Deportivo La Guaira
2026-05-19	2026	Fluminense2–1Club Bolívar
2026-05-07	2026	Ind. Rivadavia1–1Fluminense
2026-04-30	2026	Club Bolívar2–0Fluminense

Palmeiras

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	2026	LDU Quito3–2Palmeiras
2026-09-09	2026	Palmeiras1–0LDU Quito
2026-08-19	2026	Cerro Porteño0–1Palmeiras
2026-08-12	2026	Palmeiras1–1Cerro Porteño
2026-05-28	2026	Palmeiras4–1Junior FC
2026-05-21	2026	Palmeiras0–1Cerro Porteño
2026-05-05	2026	Sporting Cristal0–2Palmeiras
2026-04-30	2026	Cerro Porteño1–1Palmeiras

Fluminense Palmeiras

Wins

38%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

25%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Fluminense

Home · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Fluminense		Flamengo RJ	1
15	Fluminense		Independiente del Valle	2
15	Fluminense	1–2	Ind. Rivadavia	3	10′ Home
15	Fluminense	0–0	Ind. Rivadavia	3	–
15	Fluminense		Palmeiras	4
15	Fluminense		Estudiantes L.P.	5
15	Fluminense		LDU Quito	6
15	Fluminense		Universidad Católica	7
15	Fluminense		Corinthians	8
15	Fluminense		Independiente Medellín	9
15	Fluminense	2–0	Platense	10	21′ Home
15	Fluminense		Rosario Central	11
15	Fluminense		Mirassol	12
15	Fluminense		Cerro Porteño	13
15	Fluminense		Deportes Tolima	14
15 · Fluminense
15	Fluminense		Cruzeiro	16
15	Fluminense		Coquimbo Unido	17
15	Fluminense		Sporting Cristal	18
15	Fluminense		Barcelona Guayaquil	19
15	Fluminense		Carabobo	20
15	Fluminense		UCV	21
15	Fluminense		Lanús	22
15	Fluminense		Juventud	23
15	Fluminense		Santa Fe	24
15	Fluminense		Nacional	25
15	Fluminense		Boca Juniors	26
15	Fluminense		2 de Mayo	27
15	Fluminense		Deportivo Táchira	28
15	Fluminense		Universitario	29
15	Fluminense		O'Higgins	30
15	Fluminense	2–1	Club Bolívar	31	6′ Home
15	Fluminense		Botafogo RJ	32
15	Fluminense		Junior FC	33
15	Fluminense		Bahia	34
15	Fluminense		The Strongest	35
15	Fluminense		Argentinos Jrs	36
15	Fluminense		Nacional Potosí	37
15	Fluminense		Always Ready	38
15	Fluminense		Peñarol	39
15	Fluminense	3–1	Deportivo La Guaira	40	10′ Home
15	Fluminense		Alianza Lima	41
15	Fluminense		Guaraní	42
15	Fluminense		Liverpool	43
15	Fluminense		Cusco FC	44
15	Fluminense		Winner Semi-final 1	45
15	Fluminense		Winner Semi-final 2	46
15	Fluminense		Huachipato	47
15	Fluminense		Libertad	48

Palmeiras

Away · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Flamengo RJ		Palmeiras	4
2	Independiente del Valle		Palmeiras	4
3	Ind. Rivadavia		Palmeiras	4
4 · Palmeiras
5	Estudiantes L.P.		Palmeiras	4
6	LDU Quito	3–2	Palmeiras	4	10′ Away
7	Universidad Católica		Palmeiras	4
8	Corinthians		Palmeiras	4
9	Independiente Medellín		Palmeiras	4
10	Platense		Palmeiras	4
11	Rosario Central		Palmeiras	4
12	Mirassol		Palmeiras	4
13	Cerro Porteño	1–1	Palmeiras	4	—
13	Cerro Porteño	0–1	Palmeiras	4	41′ Away
14	Deportes Tolima		Palmeiras	4
15	Fluminense		Palmeiras	4
16	Cruzeiro		Palmeiras	4
17	Coquimbo Unido		Palmeiras	4
18	Sporting Cristal	0–2	Palmeiras	4	32′ Away
19	Barcelona Guayaquil		Palmeiras	4
20	Carabobo		Palmeiras	4
21	UCV		Palmeiras	4
22	Lanús		Palmeiras	4
23	Juventud		Palmeiras	4
24	Santa Fe		Palmeiras	4
25	Nacional		Palmeiras	4
26	Boca Juniors		Palmeiras	4
27	2 de Mayo		Palmeiras	4
28	Deportivo Táchira		Palmeiras	4
29	Universitario		Palmeiras	4
30	O'Higgins		Palmeiras	4
31	Club Bolívar		Palmeiras	4
32	Botafogo RJ		Palmeiras	4
33	Junior FC	1–1	Palmeiras	4	10′ Home
34	Bahia		Palmeiras	4
35	The Strongest		Palmeiras	4
36	Argentinos Jrs		Palmeiras	4
37	Nacional Potosí		Palmeiras	4
38	Always Ready		Palmeiras	4
39	Peñarol		Palmeiras	4
40	Deportivo La Guaira		Palmeiras	4
41	Alianza Lima		Palmeiras	4
42	Guaraní		Palmeiras	4
43	Liverpool		Palmeiras	4
44	Cusco FC		Palmeiras	4
45	Winner Semi-final 1		Palmeiras	4
46	Winner Semi-final 2		Palmeiras	4
47	Huachipato		Palmeiras	4
48	Libertad		Palmeiras	4

Fluminense Home Palmeiras Away

Wins

60%

40%

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

60%

20%

Over 3.5

20%

Both teams scored

60%

Clean sheets

40%

Scores first

80%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Fluminense

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.60	1.30
Draws	20.0%	60.0%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	1.60	0.60	1.10
Goals conceded / match	0.80	1.20	1.00
Total goals / match	2.40	1.80	2.10
Failed to score	20.0%	40.0%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	80.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 4	50%
Scores first → wins	3 of 4	75%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	1
16–30	2	1
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Palmeiras

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.60	1.80
Draws	20.0%	40.0%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	1.60	1.40	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.80	1.00	0.90
Total goals / match	2.40	2.40	2.40
Failed to score	20.0%	0.0%	10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	80.0%	70.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 4	75%
Scores first → wins	2 of 4	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Fluminense	Draw	Palmeiras	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.6%	26.3%	33.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	16.2%	23.1%	59.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.78–1.76 Model expected goals

45.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.2% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.9%

0-212.2%

1-110.8%

1-29.5%

0-07.9%

0-37.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Fluminense	Palmeiras	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1509	1538	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	7	36	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1514	1511	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Fluminense	0.60	0.50	0.60	0.40
Palmeiras	0.90	0.60	0.40	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Fluminense	20%	0%	40%	30%	10%
Palmeiras	0%	30%	40%	10%	20%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Fluminense at home, 5 matches

1.60 Palmeiras away, 5 matches

30d Days of rest for Fluminense

29d Days of rest for Palmeiras

Luis Zubeldía Manager of Fluminense, since 23/09/25

— Manager of Palmeiras

0 Matches for Fluminense in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Palmeiras in the last 14 days

9 Points for Fluminense behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Palmeiras behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone

2.13 League goals per match

26.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Fluminense, the right bar represents Palmeiras.

On the ball

20 matches

3.75

corners

7.11

9.8

fouls

10.4

3.29

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Fluminense	LWDDWWDLLD	1.30	1.10–1.00	1L
Palmeiras	LWWDWLWDWD	1.80	1.50–0.90	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Fluminense	2	6	2	0	0
Palmeiras	5	4	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Fluminense

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Palmeiras

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.