Safa

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202615:30

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 7

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Karabakh1–0Safa
2026-09-14	26/27	Safa0–3Sabah
2026-09-05	26/27	Neftchi4–1Safa
2026-08-29	26/27	Safa0–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-22	26/27	Qəbələ0–1Safa
2026-08-16	26/27	Zira2–0Safa

Turan

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Turan1–0Zira
2026-09-13	26/27	Araz2–2Turan
2026-09-06	26/27	Turan2–1Sumqayıt
2026-08-30	26/27	Kapaz1–0Turan
2026-08-23	26/27	Turan0–0Inter Baku
2026-08-14	26/27	Turan1–0Qəbələ

Safa Turan

Wins

17%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

Both teams scored

17%

33%

Clean sheets

17%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Safa

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Safa		Neftchi	1
10	Safa	0–3	Sabah	2	25′ Away
10	Safa		Karabakh	3
10	Safa		Turan	4
10	Safa		Zira	5
10	Safa		Inter Baku	6
10	Safa		Kapaz	7
10	Safa	0–1	Mil-Muğan	8	55′ Away
10	Safa		Qəbələ	9
10 · Safa
10	Safa		Sumqayıt	11
10	Safa		Araz	12

Turan

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Neftchi		Turan	4
2	Sabah		Turan	4
3	Karabakh		Turan	4
4 · Turan
5	Zira		Turan	4
6	Inter Baku		Turan	4
7	Kapaz	1–0	Turan	4	47′ Home
8	Mil-Muğan		Turan	4
9	Qəbələ		Turan	4
10	Safa		Turan	4
11	Sumqayıt		Turan	4
12	Araz	2–2	Turan	4	—

Safa Home Turan Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

0%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Safa

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.00	0.75	0.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	0.00	0.50	0.33
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.75	1.83
Total goals / match	2.00	2.25	2.17
Failed to score	100.0%	50.0%	66.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	75.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Turan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.50	0.50	1.83
Draws	25.0%	50.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.25	1.50	0.67
Total goals / match	1.25	2.50	1.67
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	50.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Safa	Draw	Turan	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	11.5%	21.5%	65.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.60–1.83 Model expected goals

42.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

37.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.1%

0-214.7%

1-19.7%

0-39.0%

1-28.8%

0-08.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Safa	Turan	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Safa	0.00	0.33	0.67	1.17
Turan	0.33	0.67	0.33	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Safa	0%	50%	17%	17%	17%
Turan	17%	50%	0%	17%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.00 Safa at home, 2 matches

0.50 Turan away, 2 matches

23d Days of rest for Safa

22d Days of rest for Turan

— Manager of Safa

— Manager of Turan

0 Matches for Safa in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Turan in the last 14 days

12 Points for Safa behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Turan behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Safa, the right bar represents Turan.

On the ball

20 matches

2.83

corners

5.25

6.5

fouls

13.0

2.0

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Safa	LLLLWL	0.50	0.33–1.83	4L
Turan	WDWLDW	1.83	1.00–0.67	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Safa	0	3	3	0	0
Turan	1	4	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Safa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Turan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.