Velež

Velež

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202601:00

Bosnia and Herzegovina 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 9

Široki Brijeg

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Zrinjski2–0Velež
2026-09-13	26/27	Velež1–0Sarajevo
2026-09-06	26/27	Željezničar3–1Velež
2026-09-02	26/27	Velež1–1Radnik
2026-08-28	26/27	Čelik3–0Velež
2026-08-22	26/27	Velež2–0Sloga Doboj
2026-08-16	26/27	BSK Banja Luka2–0Velež
2026-08-09	26/27	Borac3–1Velež

Široki Brijeg

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Široki Brijeg2–3Borac
2026-09-12	26/27	Široki Brijeg1–1BSK Banja Luka
2026-09-06	26/27	Zrinjski2–1Široki Brijeg
2026-09-02	26/27	Široki Brijeg1–2Sarajevo
2026-08-29	26/27	Željezničar1–1Široki Brijeg
2026-08-22	26/27	Široki Brijeg2–1Radnik
2026-08-14	26/27	Čelik1–2Široki Brijeg
2026-08-08	26/27	Široki Brijeg0–0Sloga Doboj

Velež Široki Brijeg

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

38%

88%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Velež

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Velež		Zrinjski	1
9	Velež		Borac	2
9	Velež	1–0	Sarajevo	3	58′ Home
9	Velež		Željezničar	4
9	Velež		Široki Brijeg	5
9	Velež	2–0	Sloga Doboj	6	10′ Home
9	Velež		Čelik	7
9	Velež		BSK Banja Luka	8
9 · Velež
9	Velež	1–1	Radnik	10	62′ Away

Široki Brijeg

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Zrinjski	2–1	Široki Brijeg	5	6′ Home
2	Borac		Široki Brijeg	5
3	Sarajevo		Široki Brijeg	5
4	Željezničar	1–1	Široki Brijeg	5	68′ Home
5 · Široki Brijeg
6	Sloga Doboj		Široki Brijeg	5
7	Čelik	1–2	Široki Brijeg	5	40′ Away
8	BSK Banja Luka		Široki Brijeg	5
9	Velež		Široki Brijeg	5
10	Radnik		Široki Brijeg	5

Velež Home Široki Brijeg Away

Wins

67%

33%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

0%

67%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

33%

100%

Clean sheets

67%

0%

Scores first

67%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Velež

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.33	0.00	0.88
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.33	0.40	0.75
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.60	1.75
Total goals / match	1.67	3.00	2.50
Failed to score	0.0%	60.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	40.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Široki Brijeg

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.33	1.12
Draws	40.0%	33.3%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.20	1.33	1.25
Goals conceded / match	1.40	1.33	1.38
Total goals / match	2.60	2.67	2.62
Failed to score	20.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	33.3%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	2
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Velež	Draw	Široki Brijeg	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	9.6%	17.6%	70.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.65–2.19 Model expected goals

51.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

41.1% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 14.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-214.1%

0-112.9%

0-310.3%

1-29.1%

1-18.3%

1-36.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Velež	Široki Brijeg	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Velež	0.12	0.62	1.00	0.75
Široki Brijeg	0.50	0.75	0.62	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Velež	0%	12%	50%	12%	25%
Široki Brijeg	12%	0%	25%	50%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Velež at home, 3 matches

1.33 Široki Brijeg away, 3 matches

21d Days of rest for Velež

20d Days of rest for Široki Brijeg

— Manager of Velež

— Manager of Široki Brijeg

0 Matches for Velež in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Široki Brijeg in the last 14 days

14 Points for Velež behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Široki Brijeg behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.60 League goals per match

25.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Velež, the right bar represents Široki Brijeg.

On the ball

20 matches

4.75

corners

4.33

9.4

fouls

8.0

2.0

yellow cards

2.4

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Velež	LWLDLWLL	0.88	0.75–1.75	1L
Široki Brijeg	LDLLDWWD	1.12	1.25–1.38	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Velež	1	2	5	0	0
Široki Brijeg	1	5	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Velež

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Široki Brijeg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.