Botev Vratsa

Botev Vratsa

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202613:00

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 11

Spartak Varna

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Dunav2–2Botev Vratsa
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–0Levski
2026-09-04	26/27	Septemvri2–3Botev Vratsa
2026-08-31	26/27	Arda2–0Botev Vratsa
2026-08-24	26/27	Botev Vratsa1–0Botev Plovdiv
2026-08-16	26/27	CSKA Sofia5–0Botev Vratsa
2026-08-10	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–3Slavia Sofia
2026-08-02	26/27	Ludogorets2–1Botev Vratsa

Spartak Varna

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Spartak Varna0–1Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-13	26/27	Slavia Sofia0–0Spartak Varna
2026-09-05	26/27	Spartak Varna1–1CSKA Sofia
2026-08-30	26/27	Spartak Varna1–1Ludogorets
2026-08-22	26/27	Levski6–0Spartak Varna
2026-08-17	26/27	Spartak Varna0–1Septemvri
2026-08-10	26/27	Botev Plovdiv3–2Spartak Varna
2026-08-03	26/27	Spartak Varna1–0Lok Plovdiv

Botev Vratsa Spartak Varna

Wins

25%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

25%

Both teams scored

38%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Botev Vratsa

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Botev Vratsa	0–0	Levski	1	–
9	Botev Vratsa		CSKA Sofia	2
9	Botev Vratsa		Ludogorets	3
9	Botev Vratsa		CSKA 1948	4
9	Botev Vratsa		Arda	5
9	Botev Vratsa	1–0	Botev Plovdiv	6	22′ Home
9	Botev Vratsa	0–3	Slavia Sofia	7	56′ Away
9	Botev Vratsa		Spartak Varna	8
9 · Botev Vratsa
9	Botev Vratsa		Septemvri	10
9	Botev Vratsa		Lokomotiv Sf	11
9	Botev Vratsa		Lok Plovdiv	12
9	Botev Vratsa	1–1	Cherno More	13	70′ Away
9	Botev Vratsa		Dunav	14

Spartak Varna

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski	6–0	Spartak Varna	8	8′ Home
2	CSKA Sofia		Spartak Varna	8
3	Ludogorets		Spartak Varna	8
4	CSKA 1948		Spartak Varna	8
5	Arda		Spartak Varna	8
6	Botev Plovdiv	3–2	Spartak Varna	8	—
7	Slavia Sofia	0–0	Spartak Varna	8	–
8 · Spartak Varna
9	Botev Vratsa		Spartak Varna	8
10	Septemvri		Spartak Varna	8
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Spartak Varna	8
12	Lok Plovdiv		Spartak Varna	8
13	Cherno More	0–3	Spartak Varna	8	33′ Away
14	Dunav		Spartak Varna	8

Botev Vratsa Home Spartak Varna Away

Wins

25%

Over 1.5

50%

75%

Over 2.5

25%

75%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

25%

Clean sheets

50%

Scores first

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Botev Vratsa

10 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away6 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.25	0.67	0.90
Draws	50.0%	16.7%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.17	0.90
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.50	1.90
Total goals / match	1.50	3.67	2.80
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	16.7%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Spartak Varna

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	50.0%	25.0%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	0.83	1.25	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.25	1.50
Total goals / match	1.83	3.50	2.50
Failed to score	33.3%	50.0%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	83.3%	25.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Botev Vratsa	Draw	Spartak Varna	How it works
Strength (Elo)	43.1%	24.1%	32.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	21.5%	25.0%	52.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.91–1.60 Model expected goals

45.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.0%

1-111.8%

0-210.4%

1-29.5%

0-08.1%

1-07.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Botev Vratsa	Spartak Varna	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1466	1479	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-33	-20	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1509	1506	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Botev Vratsa	0.30	0.60	0.70	1.20
Spartak Varna	0.50	0.50	0.60	0.90

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Botev Vratsa	10%	10%	20%	30%	30%
Spartak Varna	10%	30%	20%	10%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.25 Botev Vratsa at home, 4 matches

1.00 Spartak Varna away, 4 matches

21d Days of rest for Botev Vratsa

20d Days of rest for Spartak Varna

— Manager of Botev Vratsa

— Manager of Spartak Varna

0 Matches for Botev Vratsa in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Spartak Varna in the last 14 days

16 Points for Botev Vratsa behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Spartak Varna behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Botev Vratsa, the right bar represents Spartak Varna.

On the ball

20 matches

4.4

corners

2.56

12.1

fouls

10.5

2.14

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Botev Vratsa	DDWLWLLLLD	0.90	0.90–1.90	2D
Spartak Varna	LDDDLLLWWD	1.00	1.00–1.50	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Botev Vratsa	2	4	4	0	0
Spartak Varna	3	5	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Botev Vratsa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Spartak Varna

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.