Lokomotiv Sf

Lokomotiv Sf

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202615:30

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 11

Lok Plovdiv

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Spartak Varna0–1Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-16	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf0–2CSKA Sofia
2026-09-11	26/27	Cherno More2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-06	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–2Ludogorets
2026-08-31	26/27	Dunav2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-08-17	26/27	Arda3–1Lokomotiv Sf
2026-08-08	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–3CSKA 1948
2026-07-31	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–1Lokomotiv Sf

Lok Plovdiv

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–1CSKA Sofia
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Plovdiv2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-09-06	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
2026-08-28	26/27	CSKA 19482–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-24	26/27	Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda
2026-08-16	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–2Dunav
2026-08-07	26/27	Levski2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-03	26/27	Spartak Varna1–0Lok Plovdiv

Lokomotiv Sf Lok Plovdiv

Wins

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

12%

Both teams scored

75%

25%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lokomotiv Sf

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Lokomotiv Sf	1–2	Levski	1	63′ Home
11	Lokomotiv Sf	0–2	CSKA Sofia	2	37′ Away
11	Lokomotiv Sf	1–2	Ludogorets	3	4′ Away
11	Lokomotiv Sf	1–3	CSKA 1948	4	53′ Away
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Arda	5
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Botev Plovdiv	6
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Slavia Sofia	7
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Spartak Varna	8
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Botev Vratsa	9
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Septemvri	10
11 · Lokomotiv Sf
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Lok Plovdiv	12
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Cherno More	13
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Dunav	14

Lok Plovdiv

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski	2–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	5′ Home
2	CSKA Sofia		Lok Plovdiv	12
3	Ludogorets	1–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	45+1′ Home
4	CSKA 1948	2–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	45+2′ Home
5	Arda		Lok Plovdiv	12
6	Botev Plovdiv	2–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	9′ Home
7	Slavia Sofia		Lok Plovdiv	12
8	Spartak Varna	1–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	8′ Home
9	Botev Vratsa		Lok Plovdiv	12
10	Septemvri		Lok Plovdiv	12
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Lok Plovdiv	12
12 · Lok Plovdiv
13	Cherno More		Lok Plovdiv	12
14	Dunav		Lok Plovdiv	12

Lokomotiv Sf Home Lok Plovdiv Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

100%

60%

Over 2.5

75%

0%

Over 3.5

25%

0%

Both teams scored

75%

0%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

25%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lokomotiv Sf

10 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away6 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	0.00	1.17	0.70
Draws	0.0%	66.7%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.33	1.10
Goals conceded / match	2.25	1.50	1.80
Total goals / match	3.00	2.83	2.90
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	5

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lok Plovdiv

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.40	0.00	0.70
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	10.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.60	1.30
Total goals / match	2.00	1.60	1.80
Failed to score	20.0%	100.0%	60.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 5	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	3
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	3
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lokomotiv Sf	Draw	Lok Plovdiv	How it works
Strength (Elo)	45.8%	23.5%	30.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	39.0%	33.5%	27.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.97–0.76 Model expected goals

24.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

32.9% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 17.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-017.8%

1-017.2%

0-113.5%

1-113.1%

2-08.3%

2-16.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lokomotiv Sf	Lok Plovdiv	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1458	1449	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-43	-43	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1505	1509	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lokomotiv Sf	0.20	0.90	0.80	1.00
Lok Plovdiv	0.40	0.10	0.80	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lokomotiv Sf	0%	10%	30%	20%	40%
Lok Plovdiv	0%	40%	40%	20%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.00 Lokomotiv Sf at home, 4 matches

0.00 Lok Plovdiv away, 5 matches

20d Days of rest for Lokomotiv Sf

20d Days of rest for Lok Plovdiv

— Manager of Lokomotiv Sf

— Manager of Lok Plovdiv

0 Matches for Lokomotiv Sf in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Lok Plovdiv in the last 14 days

18 Points for Lokomotiv Sf behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

18 Points for Lok Plovdiv behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lokomotiv Sf, the right bar represents Lok Plovdiv.

On the ball

20 matches

4.1

corners

4.44

14.3

fouls

11.8

3.12

yellow cards

2.7

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lokomotiv Sf	WLDLDLLDLD	0.70	1.10–1.80	1W
Lok Plovdiv	DLWLLLLLWL	0.70	0.50–1.30	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lokomotiv Sf	0	6	4	0	0
Lok Plovdiv	2	3	5	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lokomotiv Sf

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lok Plovdiv

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.