Cherno More

Cherno More

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202615:30

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 11

Levski

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Arda1–1Cherno More
2026-09-11	26/27	Cherno More2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-06	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
2026-08-30	26/27	CSKA Sofia3–1Cherno More
2026-08-21	26/27	Cherno More3–1Dunav
2026-08-14	26/27	CSKA 19484–1Cherno More
2026-08-09	26/27	Cherno More2–3Ludogorets
2026-08-01	26/27	Botev Plovdiv1–0Cherno More

Levski

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–0Levski
2026-09-05	26/27	Levski1–0CSKA 1948
2026-09-02	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–2Levski
2026-08-30	26/27	Botev Plovdiv1–3Levski
2026-08-22	26/27	Levski6–0Spartak Varna
2026-08-07	26/27	Levski2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-01	26/27	Levski3–0Septemvri
2026-07-25	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–2Levski

Cherno More Levski

Wins

12%

88%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

75%

38%

Clean sheets

0%

62%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cherno More

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Cherno More		Levski	1
13	Cherno More		CSKA Sofia	2
13	Cherno More	2–3	Ludogorets	3	30′ Home
13	Cherno More		CSKA 1948	4
13	Cherno More		Arda	5
13	Cherno More		Botev Plovdiv	6
13	Cherno More		Slavia Sofia	7
13	Cherno More	0–3	Spartak Varna	8	33′ Away
13	Cherno More		Botev Vratsa	9
13	Cherno More		Septemvri	10
13	Cherno More	2–2	Lokomotiv Sf	11	6′ Home
13	Cherno More		Lok Plovdiv	12
13 · Cherno More
13	Cherno More	3–1	Dunav	14	55′ Home

Levski

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Levski
2	CSKA Sofia		Levski	1
3	Ludogorets		Levski	1
4	CSKA 1948		Levski	1
5	Arda		Levski	1
6	Botev Plovdiv	1–3	Levski	1	51′ Away
7	Slavia Sofia	1–2	Levski	1	57′ Home
8	Spartak Varna		Levski	1
9	Botev Vratsa	0–0	Levski	1	–
10	Septemvri		Levski	1
11	Lokomotiv Sf	1–2	Levski	1	63′ Home
12	Lok Plovdiv		Levski	1
13	Cherno More		Levski	1
14	Dunav		Levski	1

Cherno More Home Levski Away

Wins

25%

75%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

75%

25%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Scores first

75%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cherno More

10 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away6 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.33	0.60
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	1.75	0.67	1.10
Goals conceded / match	2.25	1.83	2.00
Total goals / match	4.00	2.50	3.10
Failed to score	25.0%	33.3%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	66.7%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	3
61–75	0	2
76–90	3	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Levski

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.50	2.78
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Goals scored / match	2.80	1.75	2.33
Goals conceded / match	0.20	0.75	0.44
Total goals / match	3.00	2.50	2.78
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 2	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	1
61–75	2	2
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Cherno More	Draw	Levski	How it works
Strength (Elo)	29.8%	23.1%	47.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	4.7%	10.5%	76.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.59–2.97 Model expected goals

60.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

38.7% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 12.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-212.5%

0-312.4%

0-49.2%

0-18.4%

1-27.4%

1-37.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Cherno More	Levski	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1449	1589	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-52	80	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Cherno More	0.50	0.60	0.60	1.40
Levski	0.56	1.78	0.00	0.44

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Cherno More	0%	20%	20%	10%	50%
Levski	11%	11%	11%	44%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Cherno More at home, 4 matches

2.50 Levski away, 4 matches

22d Days of rest for Cherno More

28d Days of rest for Levski

— Manager of Cherno More

— Manager of Levski

0 Matches for Cherno More in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Levski in the last 14 days

19 Points for Cherno More behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Levski behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cherno More, the right bar represents Levski.

On the ball

20 matches

5.33

corners

5.57

12.7

fouls

9.56

3.11

yellow cards

1.4

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Cherno More	DDLLWLLLLD	0.60	1.10–2.00	2D
Levski	DWWWWWWWW	2.78	2.33–0.44	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Cherno More	2	4	4	0	2
Levski	4	5	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cherno More

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Levski

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.