Lok Zagreb

Lok Zagreb

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202614:00

Croatia 26/27 HNL · Matchday 9

Varazdin

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Dinamo Zagreb3–2Lok Zagreb
2026-09-12	26/27	Lok Zagreb1–1Rijeka
2026-09-06	26/27	Slaven2–1Lok Zagreb
2026-08-31	26/27	Hajduk Split2–0Lok Zagreb
2026-08-21	26/27	Rudeš4–1Lok Zagreb
2026-08-15	26/27	Osijek1–0Lok Zagreb
2026-08-08	26/27	Lok Zagreb3–1Gorica
2026-08-01	26/27	Istra2–3Lok Zagreb

Varazdin

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Varazdin0–0Osijek
2026-09-14	26/27	Gorica2–2Varazdin
2026-09-04	26/27	Varazdin0–0Istra
2026-08-29	26/27	Varazdin2–0Rudeš
2026-08-22	26/27	Dinamo Zagreb3–1Varazdin
2026-08-16	26/27	Varazdin2–0Rijeka
2026-08-09	26/27	Slaven1–4Varazdin
2026-08-02	26/27	Varazdin2–1Hajduk Split

Lok Zagreb Varazdin

Wins

25%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lok Zagreb

Home · HNL

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Lok Zagreb		Dinamo Zagreb	1
7	Lok Zagreb		Hajduk Split	2
7	Lok Zagreb		Osijek	3
7	Lok Zagreb		Varazdin	4
7	Lok Zagreb	1–1	Rijeka	5	52′ Away
7	Lok Zagreb		Istra	6
7 · Lok Zagreb
7	Lok Zagreb		Slaven	8
7	Lok Zagreb	3–1	Gorica	9	—
7	Lok Zagreb		Rudeš	10

Varazdin

Away · HNL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Dinamo Zagreb	3–1	Varazdin	4	28′ Away
2	Hajduk Split		Varazdin	4
3	Osijek		Varazdin	4
4 · Varazdin
5	Rijeka		Varazdin	4
6	Istra		Varazdin	4
7	Lok Zagreb		Varazdin	4
8	Slaven	1–4	Varazdin	4	26′ Away
9	Gorica	2–2	Varazdin	4	53′ Home
10	Rudeš		Varazdin	4

Lok Zagreb Home Varazdin Away

Wins

50%

33%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

100%

Over 3.5

50%

100%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

50%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

HNL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lok Zagreb

8 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away6 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.50	0.88
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.17	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.33	2.00
Total goals / match	3.00	3.50	3.38
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	33.3%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Varazdin

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.20	1.33	1.88
Draws	40.0%	33.3%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.20	2.33	1.62
Goals conceded / match	0.20	2.00	0.88
Total goals / match	1.40	4.33	2.50
Failed to score	40.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	0.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	3	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	2
61–75	0	2
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lok Zagreb	Draw	Varazdin	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	8.1%	13.6%	72.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.79–2.75 Model expected goals

62.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.8% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 11.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-211.0%

0-310.1%

1-28.7%

0-18.0%

1-37.9%

0-46.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lok Zagreb	Varazdin	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lok Zagreb	0.75	0.62	0.62	1.38
Varazdin	0.75	0.88	0.00	0.88

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lok Zagreb	0%	12%	25%	12%	50%
Varazdin	25%	0%	25%	12%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Lok Zagreb at home, 2 matches

1.33 Varazdin away, 3 matches

21d Days of rest for Lok Zagreb

22d Days of rest for Varazdin

— Manager of Lok Zagreb

— Manager of Varazdin

0 Matches for Lok Zagreb in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Varazdin in the last 14 days

9 Points for Lok Zagreb behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

1 Points for Varazdin behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

3.15 League goals per match

20.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lok Zagreb, the right bar represents Varazdin.

On the ball

20 matches

4.25

corners

4.62

14.25

fouls

12.38

2.86

yellow cards

1.83

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lok Zagreb	LDLLLLWW	0.88	1.38–2.00	1L
Varazdin	DDDWLWWW	1.88	1.62–0.88	3D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lok Zagreb	2	4	2	0	0
Varazdin	3	5	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lok Zagreb

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Varazdin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.