Paksi

Paksi

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202618:30

Hungary 26/27 NB I · Matchday 9

MTK Budapeste

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Kisvárda0–1Paksi
2026-09-05	26/27	Paksi2–4Debrecen
2026-08-29	26/27	Nyíregyháza1–1Paksi
2026-08-21	26/27	Paksi2–0Újpest
2026-08-16	26/27	Puskás3–2Paksi
2026-08-09	26/27	Paksi2–2Honved
2026-08-03	26/27	ZTE5–2Paksi
2026-07-26	26/27	Paksi4–2Ferencvaros

MTK Budapeste

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	MTK Budapeste1–2Győr
2026-09-05	26/27	MTK Budapeste1–2Kisvárda
2026-08-28	26/27	Debrecen2–2MTK Budapeste
2026-08-22	26/27	MTK Budapeste2–1Nyíregyháza
2026-08-15	26/27	Újpest1–1MTK Budapeste
2026-08-07	26/27	MTK Budapeste2–3Puskás
2026-08-01	26/27	Honved3–3MTK Budapeste
2026-07-27	26/27	MTK Budapeste3–0ZTE

Paksi MTK Budapeste

Wins

38%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

88%

Both teams scored

75%

88%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Paksi

Home · NB I

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Paksi		Győr	1
6	Paksi		Puskás	2
6	Paksi		Vasas	3
6	Paksi	2–0	Újpest	4	21′ Home
6	Paksi	4–2	Ferencvaros	5	18′ Away
6 · Paksi
6	Paksi		MTK Budapeste	7
6	Paksi		Kisvárda	8
6	Paksi	2–4	Debrecen	9	—
6	Paksi		Nyíregyháza	10
6	Paksi	2–2	Honved	11	59′ Home
6	Paksi		ZTE	12

MTK Budapeste

Away · NB I

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Győr		MTK Budapeste	7
2	Puskás		MTK Budapeste	7
3	Vasas		MTK Budapeste	7
4	Újpest	1–1	MTK Budapeste	7	12′ Away
5	Ferencvaros		MTK Budapeste	7
6	Paksi		MTK Budapeste	7
7 · MTK Budapeste
8	Kisvárda		MTK Budapeste	7
9	Debrecen	2–2	MTK Budapeste	7	19′ Away
10	Nyíregyháza		MTK Budapeste	7
11	Honved	3–3	MTK Budapeste	7	—
12	ZTE		MTK Budapeste	7

Paksi Home MTK Budapeste Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

75%

67%

Over 3.5

75%

67%

Both teams scored

75%

100%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NB I · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Paksi

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.75	1.00	1.38
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	1.50	2.00
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.25	2.12
Total goals / match	4.50	3.75	4.12
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

MTK Budapeste

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.20	1.00	1.12
Draws	0.0%	100.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.80	2.00	1.88
Goals conceded / match	1.60	2.00	1.75
Total goals / match	3.40	4.00	3.62
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	33.3%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Paksi	Draw	MTK Budapeste	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	25.3%	17.8%	49.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.94–2.75 Model expected goals

77.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

73.6% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 6.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-26.7%

2-26.5%

1-36.2%

2-36.0%

1-14.9%

2-14.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Paksi	MTK Budapeste	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Paksi	1.00	1.00	1.25	0.88
MTK Budapeste	0.75	1.12	0.88	0.88

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Paksi	0%	12%	25%	0%	62%
MTK Budapeste	0%	0%	12%	50%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Paksi at home, 4 matches

1.00 MTK Budapeste away, 3 matches

21d Days of rest for Paksi

20d Days of rest for MTK Budapeste

— Manager of Paksi

— Manager of MTK Budapeste

0 Matches for Paksi in the last 14 days

0 Matches for MTK Budapeste in the last 14 days

4 Points for Paksi behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

6 Points for MTK Budapeste behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

3.26 League goals per match

27.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Paksi, the right bar represents MTK Budapeste.

On the ball

20 matches

6.25

corners

4.62

11.71

fouls

11.86

2.33

yellow cards

1.83

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Paksi	WLDWLDLW	1.38	2.00–2.12	1W
MTK Budapeste	LLDWDLDW	1.12	1.88–1.75	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Paksi	1	4	3	0	0
MTK Budapeste	2	4	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Paksi

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

MTK Budapeste

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.