Hostert

Hostert

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202615:00

Luxembourg 26/27 National Division · Matchday 9

Progrès

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Hostert1–1Esch
2026-09-12	26/27	Hostert0–0Dudelange
2026-09-05	26/27	Rosport0–2Hostert
2026-08-30	26/27	Hostert0–2Differdange
2026-08-23	26/27	Swift0–2Hostert
2026-08-16	26/27	Hostert5–1Etzella
2026-08-09	26/27	Käerjéng4–2Hostert
2026-08-02	26/27	Résidence Walferdange3–2Hostert

Progrès

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Progrès0–0Racing
2026-09-12	26/27	Wiltz1–2Progrès
2026-09-06	26/27	Progrès3–0Rumelange
2026-08-30	26/27	Mondorf2–1Progrès
2026-08-22	26/27	Progrès0–1Strassen
2026-08-16	26/27	Atert0–4Progrès
2026-08-09	26/27	Résidence Walferdange0–1Progrès
2026-08-01	26/27	Progrès2–1Esch

Hostert Progrès

Wins

38%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

50%

38%

Clean sheets

38%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hostert

Home · National Division

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Hostert		Strassen	1
9	Hostert	0–2	Differdange	2	1′ Away
9	Hostert		Mondorf	3
9	Hostert		Racing	4
9	Hostert		Progrès	5
9	Hostert		Käerjéng	6
9	Hostert		Atert	7
9	Hostert		Résidence Walferdange	8
9 · Hostert
9	Hostert	1–1	Esch	10	11′ Home
9	Hostert	0–0	Dudelange	11	–
9	Hostert		Rumelange	12
9	Hostert		Rosport	13
9	Hostert	5–1	Etzella	14	5′ Home
9	Hostert		Wiltz	15
9	Hostert		Swift	16

Progrès

Away · National Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Strassen		Progrès	5
2	Differdange		Progrès	5
3	Mondorf	2–1	Progrès	5	49′ Away
4	Racing		Progrès	5
5 · Progrès
6	Käerjéng		Progrès	5
7	Atert	0–4	Progrès	5	29′ Away
8	Résidence Walferdange	0–1	Progrès	5	45+2′ Away
9	Hostert		Progrès	5
10	Esch		Progrès	5
11	Dudelange		Progrès	5
12	Rumelange		Progrès	5
13	Rosport		Progrès	5
14	Etzella		Progrès	5
15	Wiltz	1–2	Progrès	5	14′ Away
16	Swift		Progrès	5

Hostert Home Progrès Away

Wins

25%

75%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 2.5

25%

75%

Over 3.5

25%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Scores first

50%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National Division · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hostert

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.50	1.38
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	2.00	1.75
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.75	1.38
Total goals / match	2.50	3.75	3.12
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	50.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Progrès

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.75	2.25	2.00
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.25	2.00	1.62
Goals conceded / match	0.50	0.75	0.62
Total goals / match	1.75	2.75	2.25
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 4	75%
Scores first → wins	3 of 4	75%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	2	1
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Hostert	Draw	Progrès	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.4%	9.3%	42.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	19.7%	27.7%	52.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.73–1.39 Model expected goals

35.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

38.8% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.7%

1-112.2%

0-012.0%

0-211.6%

1-08.8%

1-28.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Hostert	Progrès	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1506	1543	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	14	35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1487	1513	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Hostert	1.12	0.62	0.62	0.75
Progrès	0.50	1.12	0.12	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Hostert	12%	0%	50%	0%	38%
Progrès	12%	25%	0%	50%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.25 Hostert at home, 4 matches

2.25 Progrès away, 4 matches

25d Days of rest for Hostert

25d Days of rest for Progrès

— Manager of Hostert

— Manager of Progrès

0 Matches for Hostert in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Progrès in the last 14 days

13 Points for Hostert behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Progrès behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

3.44 League goals per match

9.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hostert, the right bar represents Progrès.

On the ball

20 matches

3.83

corners

2.5

6.0

fouls

—

3.6

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Hostert	DDWLWWLL	1.38	1.75–1.38	2D
Progrès	DWWLLWWW	2.00	1.62–0.62	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Hostert	4	2	2	0	2
Progrès	4	3	1	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hostert

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Progrès

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.