Mosta

Mosta

VS Scheduled Friday 9 Oct 202619:00

Malta 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 7

Birzebbuga

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Mosta1–3Sliema
2026-09-05	26/27	Marsaxlokk1–1Mosta
2026-08-30	26/27	Mosta1–0Birkirkara
2026-08-23	26/27	Mosta2–1Balzan
2026-08-17	26/27	Hamrun0–2Mosta

Birzebbuga

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Birzebbuga0–3Valletta
2026-09-11	26/27	Birzebbuga0–2Hamrun
2026-09-05	26/27	Balzan3–0Birzebbuga
2026-08-30	26/27	Birzebbuga1–2Sliema
2026-08-22	26/27	Zabbar1–0Birzebbuga
2026-08-14	26/27	Birzebbuga0–3Floriana

Mosta Birzebbuga

Wins

60%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

67%

Both teams scored

60%

17%

Clean sheets

40%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mosta

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Mosta		Floriana	1
6	Mosta		Valletta	2
6	Mosta		Marsaxlokk	3
6	Mosta	1–0	Birkirkara	4	31′ Home
6	Mosta		Hamrun	5
6 · Mosta
6	Mosta	1–3	Sliema	7	16′ Away
6	Mosta	2–1	Balzan	8	24′ Home
6	Mosta		Zabbar	9
6	Mosta		Hibernians	10
6	Mosta		Gzira Utd	11
6	Mosta		Birzebbuga	12

Birzebbuga

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Floriana		Birzebbuga	12
2	Valletta		Birzebbuga	12
3	Marsaxlokk		Birzebbuga	12
4	Birkirkara		Birzebbuga	12
5	Hamrun		Birzebbuga	12
6	Mosta		Birzebbuga	12
7	Sliema		Birzebbuga	12
8	Balzan	3–0	Birzebbuga	12	13′ Home
9	Zabbar	1–0	Birzebbuga	12	60′ Home
10	Hibernians		Birzebbuga	12
11	Gzira Utd		Birzebbuga	12
12 · Birzebbuga

Mosta Home Birzebbuga Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

67%

50%

Over 2.5

67%

50%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

67%

0%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

67%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Mosta

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.33	1.50	1.40
Goals conceded / match	1.33	0.50	1.00
Total goals / match	2.67	2.00	2.40
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	100.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	2
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Birzebbuga

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.00	0.00	0.00
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	0.25	0.00	0.17
Goals conceded / match	2.50	2.00	2.33
Total goals / match	2.75	2.00	2.50
Failed to score	75.0%	100.0%	83.3%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Mosta	Draw	Birzebbuga	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	75.7%	13.3%	6.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.59–0.58 Model expected goals

56.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

38.7% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 14.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-014.0%

3-012.1%

1-010.8%

2-18.2%

4-07.9%

3-17.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Mosta	Birzebbuga	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Mosta	1.00	0.40	0.60	0.40
Birzebbuga	0.00	0.17	1.00	1.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Mosta	0%	20%	40%	20%	20%
Birzebbuga	0%	17%	17%	67%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Mosta at home, 3 matches

0.00 Birzebbuga away, 2 matches

26d Days of rest for Mosta

20d Days of rest for Birzebbuga

— Manager of Mosta

— Manager of Birzebbuga

0 Matches for Mosta in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Birzebbuga in the last 14 days

3 Points for Mosta behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Birzebbuga behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone

2.71 League goals per match

22.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mosta, the right bar represents Birzebbuga.

On the ball

20 matches

3.0

corners

5.6

6.0

fouls

9.0

1.0

yellow cards

2.75

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Mosta	LDWWW	2.00	1.40–1.00	1L
Birzebbuga	LLLLLL	0.00	0.17–2.33	6L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Mosta	3	1	1	0	0
Birzebbuga	0	1	5	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mosta

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Birzebbuga

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.