Birkirkara

Birkirkara

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202614:30

Malta 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 7

Valletta

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Zabbar0–2Birkirkara
2026-09-12	26/27	Birkirkara1–1Hibernians
2026-09-06	26/27	Sliema2–1Birkirkara
2026-08-30	26/27	Mosta1–0Birkirkara
2026-08-22	26/27	Birkirkara1–0Hamrun
2026-08-17	26/27	Birkirkara4–0Gzira Utd

Valletta

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Birzebbuga0–3Valletta
2026-09-13	26/27	Valletta2–2Balzan
2026-09-02	26/27	Hibernians0–2Valletta
2026-08-28	26/27	Valletta1–2Marsaxlokk
2026-08-23	26/27	Gzira Utd0–3Valletta
2026-08-16	26/27	Valletta4–2Zabbar

Birkirkara Valletta

Wins

50%

67%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

83%

Both teams scored

33%

50%

Clean sheets

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Birkirkara

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Birkirkara		Floriana	1
4	Birkirkara		Valletta	2
4	Birkirkara		Marsaxlokk	3
4 · Birkirkara
4	Birkirkara	1–0	Hamrun	5	88′ Home
4	Birkirkara		Mosta	6
4	Birkirkara		Sliema	7
4	Birkirkara		Balzan	8
4	Birkirkara		Zabbar	9
4	Birkirkara	1–1	Hibernians	10	15′ Away
4	Birkirkara	4–0	Gzira Utd	11	10′ Home
4	Birkirkara		Birzebbuga	12

Valletta

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Floriana		Valletta	2
2 · Valletta
3	Marsaxlokk		Valletta	2
4	Birkirkara		Valletta	2
5	Hamrun		Valletta	2
6	Mosta		Valletta	2
7	Sliema		Valletta	2
8	Balzan		Valletta	2
9	Zabbar		Valletta	2
10	Hibernians	0–2	Valletta	2	3′ Away
11	Gzira Utd	0–3	Valletta	2	65′ Away
12	Birzebbuga	0–3	Valletta	2	4′ Away

Birkirkara Home Valletta Away

Wins

67%

100%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

33%

67%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

33%

0%

Clean sheets

67%

100%

Scores first

67%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Birkirkara

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.33	1.00	0.67
Total goals / match	2.33	2.00	2.17
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Valletta

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.33	3.00	2.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.33	2.67	2.50
Goals conceded / match	2.00	0.00	1.00
Total goals / match	4.33	2.67	3.50
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	3	0
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Birkirkara	Draw	Valletta	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	36.9%	28.1%	34.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.19–1.15 Model expected goals

41.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 13.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-113.2%

1-011.5%

0-111.0%

0-09.6%

2-17.9%

1-27.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Birkirkara	Valletta	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Birkirkara	0.50	1.00	0.50	0.17
Valletta	0.67	1.83	1.00	0.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Birkirkara	0%	33%	33%	17%	17%
Valletta	0%	0%	17%	50%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Birkirkara at home, 3 matches

3.00 Valletta away, 3 matches

22d Days of rest for Birkirkara

21d Days of rest for Valletta

— Manager of Birkirkara

— Manager of Valletta

0 Matches for Birkirkara in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Valletta in the last 14 days

3 Points for Birkirkara behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Valletta behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

2.71 League goals per match

22.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Birkirkara, the right bar represents Valletta.

On the ball

20 matches

5.33

corners

5.8

13.5

fouls

5.25

2.0

yellow cards

2.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Birkirkara	WDLLWW	1.67	1.50–0.67	1W
Valletta	WDWLWW	2.17	2.50–1.00	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Birkirkara	2	1	3	0	0
Valletta	2	1	3	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Birkirkara

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Valletta

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.