Hamrun

Hamrun

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202614:30

Malta 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 7

Hibernians

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Hamrun4–1Marsaxlokk
2026-09-11	26/27	Birzebbuga0–2Hamrun
2026-09-06	26/27	Zabbar1–2Hamrun
2026-08-29	26/27	Hamrun1–1Floriana
2026-08-22	26/27	Birkirkara1–0Hamrun
2026-08-17	26/27	Hamrun0–2Mosta

Hibernians

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Hibernians0–4Floriana
2026-09-12	26/27	Birkirkara1–1Hibernians
2026-09-02	26/27	Hibernians0–2Valletta
2026-08-28	26/27	Hibernians1–1Zabbar
2026-08-21	26/27	Marsaxlokk1–0Hibernians
2026-08-16	26/27	Sliema0–2Hibernians

Hamrun Hibernians

Wins

50%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

17%

Both teams scored

50%

33%

Clean sheets

17%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hamrun

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Hamrun	1–1	Floriana	1	18′ Home
5	Hamrun		Valletta	2
5	Hamrun	4–1	Marsaxlokk	3	16′ Home
5	Hamrun		Birkirkara	4
5 · Hamrun
5	Hamrun	0–2	Mosta	6	5′ Away
5	Hamrun		Sliema	7
5	Hamrun		Balzan	8
5	Hamrun		Zabbar	9
5	Hamrun		Hibernians	10
5	Hamrun		Gzira Utd	11
5	Hamrun		Birzebbuga	12

Hibernians

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Floriana		Hibernians	10
2	Valletta		Hibernians	10
3	Marsaxlokk	1–0	Hibernians	10	35′ Home
4	Birkirkara	1–1	Hibernians	10	15′ Away
5	Hamrun		Hibernians	10
6	Mosta		Hibernians	10
7	Sliema	0–2	Hibernians	10	28′ Away
8	Balzan		Hibernians	10
9	Zabbar		Hibernians	10
10 · Hibernians
11	Gzira Utd		Hibernians	10
12	Birzebbuga		Hibernians	10

Hamrun Home Hibernians Away

Wins

33%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

33%

0%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

67%

33%

Clean sheets

0%

33%

Scores first

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hamrun

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.33	2.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.33	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.33	0.67	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	2.00	2.50
Failed to score	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	2	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hibernians

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.33	1.33	0.83
Draws	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	0.33	1.00	0.67
Goals conceded / match	2.33	0.67	1.50
Total goals / match	2.67	1.67	2.17
Failed to score	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	83.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Hamrun	Draw	Hibernians	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	65.6%	21.9%	11.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.79–0.58 Model expected goals

41.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.3% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 16.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-016.7%

2-014.9%

1-19.7%

0-09.3%

3-08.9%

2-18.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Hamrun	Hibernians	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Hamrun	0.67	0.83	0.50	0.50
Hibernians	0.50	0.17	0.67	0.83

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Hamrun	0%	17%	50%	17%	17%
Hibernians	0%	17%	67%	0%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.33 Hamrun at home, 3 matches

1.33 Hibernians away, 3 matches

23d Days of rest for Hamrun

21d Days of rest for Hibernians

— Manager of Hamrun

— Manager of Hibernians

0 Matches for Hamrun in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Hibernians in the last 14 days

3 Points for Hamrun behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Hibernians behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.71 League goals per match

22.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hamrun, the right bar represents Hibernians.

On the ball

20 matches

6.33

corners

4.17

8.0

fouls

7.0

2.0

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Hamrun	WWWDLL	1.67	1.50–1.00	3W
Hibernians	LDLDLW	0.83	0.67–1.50	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Hamrun	2	3	1	0	1
Hibernians	3	0	3	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hamrun

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hibernians

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.