Mladost Lučani

Mladost Lučani

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202601:00

Serbia 26/27 Super Liga · Matchday 11

OFK Belgrado

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Mačva1–2Mladost Lučani
2026-09-12	26/27	Radnicki 19235–0Mladost Lučani
2026-09-05	26/27	Mladost Lučani1–0Radnički Niš
2026-08-30	26/27	FK IMT2–0Mladost Lučani
2026-08-23	26/27	Mladost Lučani3–1Partizan
2026-08-16	26/27	Zemun0–1Mladost Lučani
2026-08-09	26/27	Mladost Lučani2–2Čukarički
2026-08-03	26/27	Železničar P0–0Mladost Lučani

OFK Belgrado

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	OFK Belgrado3–5Radnicki 1923
2026-09-13	26/27	Radnički Niš3–1OFK Belgrado
2026-09-07	26/27	OFK Belgrado1–1FK IMT
2026-08-31	26/27	Partizan3–1OFK Belgrado
2026-08-22	26/27	OFK Belgrado1–0Zemun
2026-08-15	26/27	Čukarički2–0OFK Belgrado
2026-08-09	26/27	OFK Belgrado2–2Železničar P
2026-08-01	26/27	Novi Pazar1–4OFK Belgrado

Mladost Lučani OFK Belgrado

Wins

50%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

62%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mladost Lučani

Home · Super Liga

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Mladost Lučani		Estrela Vermelha	1
4	Mladost Lučani		Vojvodina	2
4	Mladost Lučani		Radnicki 1923	3
4 · Mladost Lučani
4	Mladost Lučani		FK IMT	5
4	Mladost Lučani		Železničar P	6
4	Mladost Lučani		Radnik	7
4	Mladost Lučani	0–0	Novi Pazar	8	–
4	Mladost Lučani	2–2	Čukarički	9	18′ Away
4	Mladost Lučani		OFK Belgrado	10
4	Mladost Lučani	3–1	Partizan	11	12′ Home
4	Mladost Lučani	1–0	Radnički Niš	12	12′ Home
4	Mladost Lučani		Mačva	13
4	Mladost Lučani		Zemun	14

OFK Belgrado

Away · Super Liga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Estrela Vermelha		OFK Belgrado	10
2	Vojvodina	4–0	OFK Belgrado	10	54′ Home
3	Radnicki 1923		OFK Belgrado	10
4	Mladost Lučani		OFK Belgrado	10
5	FK IMT		OFK Belgrado	10
6	Železničar P		OFK Belgrado	10
7	Radnik		OFK Belgrado	10
8	Novi Pazar	1–4	OFK Belgrado	10	13′ Away
9	Čukarički	2–0	OFK Belgrado	10	22′ Home
10 · OFK Belgrado
11	Partizan	3–1	OFK Belgrado	10	36′ Home
12	Radnički Niš	3–1	OFK Belgrado	10	7′ Home
13	Mačva		OFK Belgrado	10
14	Zemun		OFK Belgrado	10

Mladost Lučani Home OFK Belgrado Away

Wins

50%

20%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

50%

80%

Over 3.5

50%

80%

Both teams scored

50%

60%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

50%

20%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Mladost Lučani

10 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away6 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.33	1.60
Draws	50.0%	33.3%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.67	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.50	1.20
Total goals / match	2.25	2.17	2.20
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	66.7%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

OFK Belgrado

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.20	0.60	0.90
Draws	60.0%	0.0%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	1.40	1.20	1.30
Goals conceded / match	1.60	2.60	2.10
Total goals / match	3.00	3.80	3.40
Failed to score	20.0%	40.0%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	20.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	2
46–60	2	3
61–75	2	3
76–90	0	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Mladost Lučani	Draw	OFK Belgrado	How it works
Strength (Elo)	50.6%	23.2%	26.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	29.8%	24.7%	44.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.24–1.58 Model expected goals

52.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.0% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.7%

0-19.4%

1-29.2%

0-27.4%

1-07.4%

2-17.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Mladost Lučani	OFK Belgrado	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1512	1457	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	10	-27	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1496	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Mladost Lučani	0.40	0.60	0.60	0.60
OFK Belgrado	0.70	0.60	0.80	1.30

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Mladost Lučani	20%	20%	20%	10%	30%
OFK Belgrado	10%	10%	20%	0%	60%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Mladost Lučani at home, 4 matches

0.60 OFK Belgrado away, 5 matches

20d Days of rest for Mladost Lučani

21d Days of rest for OFK Belgrado

— Manager of Mladost Lučani

— Manager of OFK Belgrado

0 Matches for Mladost Lučani in the last 14 days

0 Matches for OFK Belgrado in the last 14 days

12 Points for Mladost Lučani behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

19 Points for OFK Belgrado behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.68 League goals per match

26.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mladost Lučani, the right bar represents OFK Belgrado.

On the ball

20 matches

4.43

corners

3.0

14.0

fouls

14.8

2.75

yellow cards

2.2

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Mladost Lučani	WLWLWWDDDD	1.60	1.00–1.20	1W
OFK Belgrado	LLDLWLDWDL	0.90	1.30–2.10	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Mladost Lučani	3	3	4	1	0
OFK Belgrado	3	3	4	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mladost Lučani

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

OFK Belgrado

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.