Al-Ittihad

Al-Ittihad

VS Scheduled Tuesday 13 Oct 202618:00

Egypt 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 6

El Gouna

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-15	26/27	Al Masry0–2Al-Ittihad
2026-09-07	26/27	Al-Ittihad1–0Asyut Petrol
2026-09-02	26/27	Abu Qair Semad0–2Al-Ittihad
2026-08-28	26/27	Al-Ittihad1–3Cleopatra FC
2026-08-21	26/27	Zamalek0–0Al-Ittihad

El Gouna

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	El Gouna1–2Petrojet
2026-09-09	26/27	Pyramids1–0El Gouna
2026-09-02	26/27	El Gouna0–1Mokawloon
2026-08-28	26/27	El Qanah1–1El Gouna
2026-08-23	26/27	El Gouna1–1Modern Sport

Al-Ittihad El Gouna

Wins

60%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

20%

Both teams scored

20%

60%

Clean sheets

80%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Al-Ittihad

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Al-Ittihad		Pyramids	1
6	Al-Ittihad		Zamalek	2
6	Al-Ittihad		Ahly	3
6	Al-Ittihad	1–3	Cleopatra FC	4	45+5′ Away
6	Al-Ittihad		Modern Sport	5
6 · Al-Ittihad
6	Al-Ittihad		Mokawloon	7
6	Al-Ittihad		Petrojet	8
6	Al-Ittihad		El Geish	9
6	Al-Ittihad		Zed FC	10
6	Al-Ittihad		El Qanah	11
6	Al-Ittihad		Al Masry	12
6	Al-Ittihad		National Bank	13
6	Al-Ittihad		Wadi Degla	14
6	Al-Ittihad		ENPPI	15
6	Al-Ittihad		Smouha	16
6	Al-Ittihad		Abu Qair Semad	17
6	Al-Ittihad		El Gouna	18
6	Al-Ittihad	1–0	Asyut Petrol	19	74′ Home
6	Al-Ittihad		Ghazl	20

El Gouna

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Pyramids	1–0	El Gouna	18	—
2	Zamalek		El Gouna	18
3	Ahly		El Gouna	18
4	Cleopatra FC		El Gouna	18
5	Modern Sport		El Gouna	18
6	Al-Ittihad		El Gouna	18
7	Mokawloon		El Gouna	18
8	Petrojet		El Gouna	18
9	El Geish		El Gouna	18
10	Zed FC		El Gouna	18
11	El Qanah	1–1	El Gouna	18	6′ Home
12	Al Masry		El Gouna	18
13	National Bank		El Gouna	18
14	Wadi Degla		El Gouna	18
15	ENPPI		El Gouna	18
16	Smouha		El Gouna	18
17	Abu Qair Semad		El Gouna	18
18 · El Gouna
19	Asyut Petrol		El Gouna	18
20	Ghazl		El Gouna	18

Al-Ittihad Home El Gouna Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

50%

0%

Over 3.5

50%

0%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

50%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Al-Ittihad

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.50	2.33	2.00
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.33	1.20
Goals conceded / match	1.50	0.00	0.60
Total goals / match	2.50	1.33	1.80
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

El Gouna

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	0.33	0.50	0.40
Draws	33.3%	50.0%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	0.67	0.50	0.60
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.00	1.20
Total goals / match	2.00	1.50	1.80
Failed to score	33.3%	50.0%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Al-Ittihad	Draw	El Gouna	How it works
Strength (Elo)	54.7%	17.4%	27.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	63.4%	25.5%	10.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.50–0.44 Model expected goals

30.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

27.5% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 21.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-021.6%

2-016.2%

0-014.4%

1-19.5%

3-08.1%

2-17.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Al-Ittihad	El Gouna	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1527	1470	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	25	-28	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1494	1506	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Al-Ittihad	0.00	1.20	0.20	0.40
El Gouna	0.20	0.40	0.80	0.40

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Al-Ittihad	20%	20%	40%	0%	20%
El Gouna	0%	40%	40%	20%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Al-Ittihad at home, 2 matches

0.50 El Gouna away, 2 matches

28d Days of rest for Al-Ittihad

27d Days of rest for El Gouna

— Manager of Al-Ittihad

— Manager of El Gouna

0 Matches for Al-Ittihad in the last 14 days

0 Matches for El Gouna in the last 14 days

5 Points for Al-Ittihad behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

13 Points for El Gouna behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.06 League goals per match

20.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Al-Ittihad, the right bar represents El Gouna.

On the ball

20 matches

4.4

corners

5.75

11.0

fouls

12.0

2.0

yellow cards

3.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Al-Ittihad	WWWLD	2.00	1.20–0.60	3W
El Gouna	LLLDD	0.40	0.60–1.20	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Al-Ittihad	0	4	1	0	0
El Gouna	0	3	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Al-Ittihad

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

El Gouna

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.