ESZ

ESZ

VS Scheduled Wednesday 21 Oct 202601:00

Tunisia 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 8

USBG

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Club Africain1–0ESZ
2026-09-16	26/27	ESZ1–2Monastir
2026-08-29	26/27	Sfax2–1ESZ
2026-08-23	26/27	ESZ1–0Olympique Béja

USBG

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	USBG1–0Hammam-Lif
2026-09-16	26/27	USBG1–1Sfax
2026-09-12	26/27	Monastir3–3USBG
2026-08-30	26/27	Olympique Béja1–2USBG

ESZ USBG

Wins

25%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

50%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

ESZ

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
12	ESZ		Club Africain	1
12	ESZ		Tunis	2
12	ESZ		Sfax	3
12	ESZ		Progrès SE	4
12	ESZ	1–2	Monastir	5	21′ Away
12	ESZ		USBG	6
12	ESZ		JS Omrane	7
12	ESZ		Bizertin	8
12	ESZ		Stade Tunisien	9
12	ESZ		ES Sahel	10
12	ESZ		Marsa	11
12 · ESZ
12	ESZ		Métlaoui	13
12	ESZ	1–0	Olympique Béja	14	90+8′ Home
12	ESZ		ESHS	15
12	ESZ		Hammam-Lif	16

USBG

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Club Africain		USBG	6
2	Tunis		USBG	6
3	Sfax		USBG	6
4	Progrès SE		USBG	6
5	Monastir	3–3	USBG	6	7′ Home
6 · USBG
7	JS Omrane		USBG	6
8	Bizertin		USBG	6
9	Stade Tunisien		USBG	6
10	ES Sahel		USBG	6
11	Marsa		USBG	6
12	ESZ		USBG	6
13	Métlaoui		USBG	6
14	Olympique Béja	1–2	USBG	6	25′ Away
15	ESHS		USBG	6
16	Hammam-Lif		USBG	6

ESZ Home USBG Away

Wins

50%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

50%

100%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

100%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

ESZ

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.00	0.75
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.50	0.75
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.25
Total goals / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

USBG

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	2.50	1.75
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.00	1.25
Total goals / match	1.50	4.50	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	0.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	2	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	2
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	ESZ	Draw	USBG	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	13.2%	20.1%	64.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.76–2.02 Model expected goals

50.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.4% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 12.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-212.6%

0-112.5%

1-29.6%

1-19.6%

0-38.5%

1-36.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	ESZ	USBG	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
ESZ	0.25	0.50	0.50	0.75
USBG	1.00	0.75	0.50	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
ESZ	0%	50%	0%	50%	0%
USBG	0%	25%	25%	25%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 ESZ at home, 2 matches

2.00 USBG away, 2 matches

31d Days of rest for ESZ

31d Days of rest for USBG

— Manager of ESZ

— Manager of USBG

0 Matches for ESZ in the last 14 days

0 Matches for USBG in the last 14 days

6 Points for ESZ behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

1 Points for USBG behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.03 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents ESZ, the right bar represents USBG.

On the ball

20 matches

6.0

corners

2.75

10.0

fouls

19.0

2.0

yellow cards

2.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
ESZ	LLLW	0.75	0.75–1.25	3L
USBG	WDDW	2.00	1.75–1.25	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
ESZ	0	3	1	0	0
USBG	2	1	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

ESZ

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

USBG

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.