Al Mosul

Al Mosul

VS Scheduled Thursday 8 Oct 202616:00

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 9

Quwa

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Al Mosul0–1Naft
2026-09-13	26/27	Zakho2–1Al Mosul
2026-09-09	26/27	Newroz SC3–0Al Mosul
2026-09-03	26/27	Al Mosul2–2Zawra'a
2026-08-30	26/27	Shorta2–0Al Mosul
2026-08-26	26/27	Al Mosul3–0Karbala
2026-08-21	26/27	Al Mosul2–1Diala
2026-08-15	26/27	Al-Karma1–1Al Mosul

Quwa

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Quwa1–1Diala
2026-09-10	26/27	Quwa0–1Zawra'a
2026-09-07	26/27	Karbala2–3Quwa
2026-09-03	26/27	Duhok2–1Quwa
2026-08-29	26/27	Quwa1–1Maysan
2026-08-25	26/27	Quwa1–1Ghaz Al Shamal SC
2026-08-21	26/27	Erbil1–1Quwa
2026-08-14	26/27	Newroz SC3–3Quwa

Al Mosul Quwa

Wins

25%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

38%

Both teams scored

50%

88%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Al Mosul

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Al Mosul		Al-Karma	1
15	Al Mosul	2–2	Zawra'a	2	33′ Away
15	Al Mosul		Erbil	3
15	Al Mosul		Shorta	4
15	Al Mosul	0–1	Naft	5	90+8′ Away
15	Al Mosul		Newroz SC	6
15	Al Mosul		Minaa Basra	7
15	Al Mosul		Talaba	8
15	Al Mosul		Al Jolan SC	9
15	Al Mosul		Duhok	10
15	Al Mosul	2–1	Diala	11	36′ Home
15	Al Mosul		Zakho	12
15	Al Mosul		Quwa	13
15	Al Mosul		Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14
15 · Al Mosul
15	Al Mosul		Karkh	16
15	Al Mosul		Kahrabaa	17
15	Al Mosul		Maysan	18
15	Al Mosul		Al Gharraf	19
15	Al Mosul	3–0	Karbala	20	39′ Home

Quwa

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Karma		Quwa	13
2	Zawra'a		Quwa	13
3	Erbil	1–1	Quwa	13	—
4	Shorta		Quwa	13
5	Naft		Quwa	13
6	Newroz SC	3–3	Quwa	13	2′ Away
7	Minaa Basra		Quwa	13
8	Talaba		Quwa	13
9	Al Jolan SC		Quwa	13
10	Duhok	2–1	Quwa	13	15′ Away
11	Diala		Quwa	13
12	Zakho		Quwa	13
13 · Quwa
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Quwa	13
15	Al Mosul		Quwa	13
16	Karkh		Quwa	13
17	Kahrabaa		Quwa	13
18	Maysan		Quwa	13
19	Al Gharraf		Quwa	13
20	Karbala	2–3	Quwa	13	—

Al Mosul Home Quwa Away

Wins

50%

25%

Over 1.5

75%

100%

Over 2.5

75%

Over 3.5

25%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

100%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

50%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Al Mosul

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.25	1.00
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.75	0.50	1.12
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.50
Total goals / match	2.75	2.50	2.62
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	3	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	3	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Quwa

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.75	1.25	1.00
Draws	75.0%	50.0%	62.5%
Goals scored / match	0.75	2.00	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.50
Total goals / match	1.75	4.00	2.88
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	25.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Al Mosul	Draw	Quwa	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.0%	38.0%	27.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	19.6%	19.8%	57.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.20–2.22 Model expected goals

63.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

60.3% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.7%

1-18.7%

0-28.1%

0-17.3%

1-37.2%

0-36.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Al Mosul	Quwa	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1475	1490	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-26	-12	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1506	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Al Mosul	0.38	0.75	0.62	0.88
Quwa	0.50	0.88	0.62	0.88

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Al Mosul	0%	12%	25%	50%	12%
Quwa	0%	12%	50%	12%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Al Mosul at home, 4 matches

1.25 Quwa away, 4 matches

20d Days of rest for Al Mosul

19d Days of rest for Quwa

— Manager of Al Mosul

— Manager of Quwa

0 Matches for Al Mosul in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Quwa in the last 14 days

12 Points for Al Mosul behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Quwa behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Al Mosul, the right bar represents Quwa.

On the ball

20 matches

3.5

corners

3.67

8.0

fouls

8.0

1.6

yellow cards

2.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Al Mosul	LLLDLWWD	1.00	1.12–1.50	3L
Quwa	DLWLDDDD	1.00	1.38–1.50	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Al Mosul	2	3	3	0	0
Quwa	2	3	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Al Mosul

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Quwa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.