Head-to-head overview
2 meetings- LibertadWins
- 0
- Draws50.0% of meetings
- 1
- Leones del NorteWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 3.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 |
2026
|
Libertad1–3Leones del Norte |
| 2026-02-28 |
2026
|
Leones del Norte1–1Libertad |
Recent matches
Libertad
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Emelec1–2Libertad |
| 2026-09-14 |
2026
|
Libertad2–3Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-09-07 |
2026
|
Deportivo Cuenca0–1Libertad |
| 2026-09-04 |
2026
|
Libertad1–1Emelec |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Aucas1–0Libertad |
| 2026-08-25 |
2026
|
Libertad1–0Macará |
| 2026-08-15 |
2026
|
Guayaquil City FC2–2Libertad |
| 2026-08-10 |
2026
|
Libertad2–1Universidad Católica |
Leones del Norte
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
2026
|
Guayaquil City FC1–1Leones del Norte |
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Leones del Norte0–1Técnico Universitario |
| 2026-09-08 |
2026
|
Mushuc Runa1–1Leones del Norte |
| 2026-09-03 |
2026
|
Leones del Norte1–0Orense |
| 2026-08-31 |
2026
|
Emelec2–1Leones del Norte |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Leones del Norte2–3Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-08-15 |
2026
|
Manta0–2Leones del Norte |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
Aucas3–0Leones del Norte |
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Wins
50%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
38%
Both teams scored
62%
50%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Libertad
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 2–3 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 19′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–0 | Macará | 2 | 5′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 2–1 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 40′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 3–2 | Aucas | 4 | 22′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 2–1 | LDU Quito | 5 | 18′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 0–0 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | – |
| 7 · Libertad | |||||
| 7 | Libertad | 1–3 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 27′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 0–1 | Guayaquil City FC | 9 | 82′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 2–2 | Mushuc Runa | 10 | 4′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–1 | Emelec | 11 | 45+1′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 0–1 | Deportivo Cuenca | 12 | 73′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 3–0 | Orense | 13 | 38′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–0 | Técnico Universitario | 14 | 90+1′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–0 | Delfin | 15 | 72′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–0 | Manta | 16 | 90+3′ Home |
Leones del Norte
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 2–1 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 28′ Away |
| 2 | Macará | 0–0 | Leones del Norte | 8 | – |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 3–0 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 32′ Home |
| 4 | Aucas | 3–0 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 24′ Home |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 0–1 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 45+3′ Away |
| 6 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 2–1 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 35′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–3 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 27′ Home |
| 8 · Leones del Norte | |||||
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 0–0 | Leones del Norte | 8 | – |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 1–1 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 38′ Away |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa | 1–1 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 7′ Away |
| 11 | Emelec | 2–1 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 3′ Home |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1–1 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 51′ Away |
| 13 | Orense | 2–0 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 55′ Home |
| 14 | Técnico Universitario | 2–1 | Leones del Norte | 8 | — |
| 15 | Delfin | 0–1 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 67′ Away |
| 16 | Manta | 0–2 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 17′ Away |
Libertad Home
Leones del Norte Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Libertad
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away16 matches | Overall31 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.80 | 1.06 | 1.42 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 31.2% | 25.8% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.33 | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Total goals / match | 2.33 | 2.19 | 2.26 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 37.5% | 29.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53.3% | 56.2% | 54.8% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 5 of 97 of 14 | 56%50% |
| Scores first → wins | 7 of 910 of 14 | 78%71% |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 52 of 14 | 20%14% |
Scoring order known: 15/15 home.Scoring order known: 31/31 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 3 | 2 |
| 31–45 | 5 | 4 |
| 46–60 | 2 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 4 | 5 |
| 76–90 | 5 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Leones del Norte
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away16 matches | Overall31 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.53 | 1.06 | 1.29 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 31.2% | 32.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.20 | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.87 | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Total goals / match | 2.07 | 2.12 | 2.10 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 31.2% | 25.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 80.0% | 56.2% | 67.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 3 of 79 of 16 | 43%56% |
| Scores first → wins | 3 of 79 of 16 | 43%56% |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 71 of 13 | 14%8% |
Scoring order known: 16/16 away.Scoring order known: 31/31 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Libertad | Draw | Leones del Norte | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 48.1% | 22.9% | 29.0% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 31.5% | 27.6% | 40.6% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.10–1.29
Model expected goals
42.3%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.0%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 13.0%
Most likely scores
1-113.0%
0-111.9%
1-010.1%
0-09.2%
1-28.4%
0-27.6%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Libertad | Leones del Norte | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1522 | 1496 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 55 | -13 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1508 | 1492 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 0.60 | 0.75 | 0.35 | 0.70 |
| Leones del Norte | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.55 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 10% | 29% | 16% | 26% | 19% |
| Leones del Norte | 6% | 23% | 39% | 23% | 10% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.90
Libertad at home, 10 matches
1.40
Leones del Norte away, 10 matches
21d
Days of rest for Libertad
22d
Days of rest for Leones del Norte
—
Manager of Libertad
—
Manager of Leones del Norte
0
Matches for Libertad in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Leones del Norte in the last 14 days
30
Points for Libertad behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
34
Points for Leones del Norte behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
2.27
League goals per match
24.7%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Libertad, the right bar represents Leones del Norte.
On the ball
3.65
4.35
corners
12.6
13.0
fouls
2.19
2.47
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | WLWDLWDWWW | 2.00 | 1.60–0.90 | 1W |
| Leones del Norte | DLDWLLWLDW | 1.20 | 1.00–1.20 | 1D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Leones del Norte | 9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Libertad
No absences reported.
Leones del Norte
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.