For the love of the game. Find your next match
France
VS Scheduled Europe 26/27 UEFA Nations League · Matchday 3
Italy
Recent matches

France

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Belgium0–1France
2026-09-25 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Turkey0–1France

Italy

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Turkey1–4Italy
2026-09-25 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Italy0–2Belgium
France Italy

Wins

100%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

0%
50%

Both teams scored

0%
50%

Clean sheets

100%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Italy

Away · UEFA Nations League
France Home Italy Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

UEFA Nations League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

France

2 matches
Goals & resultsHome0 matchesAway2 matchesOverall2 matches
Points / match—3.003.00
Draws—0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match—1.001.00
Goals conceded / match—0.000.00
Total goals / match—1.001.00
Failed to score—0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals—100.0%100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 0/0 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Italy

2 matches
Goals & resultsHome1 matchesAway1 matchesOverall2 matches
Points / match0.003.001.50
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match0.004.002.00
Goals conceded / match2.001.001.50
Total goals / match2.005.003.50
Failed to score100.0%0.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%0.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 1/1 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3020
31–4500
46–6011
61–7500
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelFranceDraw ItalyHow it works
Strength (Elo) 44.1% 28.1% 27.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 50.5% 27.6% 21.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.39–0.80 Model expected goals
37.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.2% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 15.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-015.6%
1-112.4%
0-011.2%
2-010.8%
0-19.0%
2-18.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureFranceItaly How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1524 1503 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 12 21 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1509 1494 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
France 0.001.00 0.000.00
Italy 1.500.50 0.501.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
France 0%100%0%0%0%
Italy 0%0%50%0%50%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

— France at home, 0 matches
3.00 Italy away, 1 matches
4d Days of rest for France
4d Days of rest for Italy
— Manager of France
— Manager of Italy
2 Matches for France in the last 14 days
2 Matches for Italy in the last 14 days
3 Points for France behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Italy behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.46 League goals per match
30.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents France, the right bar represents Italy.

On the ball

20 matches
4.5
corners
3.0
12.0
fouls
16.5
3.0
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
France WW 3.00 1.00–0.00 2W
Italy WL 1.50 2.00–1.50 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
France0 20 00
Italy1 01 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

France

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Italy

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.