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Armenia
VS Scheduled Europe 26/27 UEFA Nations League · Matchday 5
Cyprus
Recent matches

Armenia

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Armenia2–3Montenegro
2026-09-25 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Armenia2–0Latvia

Cyprus

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Latvia0–0Cyprus
2026-09-25 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Montenegro2–1Cyprus
Armenia Cyprus

Wins

50%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
50%

Both teams scored

50%
50%

Clean sheets

50%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cyprus

Away · UEFA Nations League
Armenia Home Cyprus Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

UEFA Nations League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Armenia

2 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway0 matchesOverall2 matches
Points / match1.50—1.50
Draws0.0%—0.0%
Goals scored / match2.00—2.00
Goals conceded / match1.50—1.50
Total goals / match3.50—3.50
Failed to score0.0%—0.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%—50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 1/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Cyprus

2 matches
Goals & resultsHome0 matchesAway2 matchesOverall2 matches
Points / match—0.500.50
Draws—50.0%50.0%
Goals scored / match—0.500.50
Goals conceded / match—1.001.00
Total goals / match—1.501.50
Failed to score—50.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals—50.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4500
46–6010
61–7501
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelArmeniaDraw CyprusHow it works
Strength (Elo) 42.5% 28.7% 28.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 66.3% 21.2% 11.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.85–0.60 Model expected goals
43.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
37.5% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 16.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-016.0%
2-014.8%
1-19.6%
3-09.1%
2-18.9%
0-08.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureArmeniaCyprus How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1501 1493 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -12 2 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1504 1494 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Armenia 1.001.00 1.000.50
Cyprus 0.000.50 0.001.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Armenia 0%0%50%0%50%
Cyprus 50%0%0%50%0%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Armenia at home, 2 matches
0.50 Cyprus away, 2 matches
45d Days of rest for Armenia
45d Days of rest for Cyprus
— Manager of Armenia
— Manager of Cyprus
0 Matches for Armenia in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Cyprus in the last 14 days
6 Points for Armenia behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
8 Points for Cyprus behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.46 League goals per match
30.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Armenia, the right bar represents Cyprus.

On the ball

20 matches
6.0
corners
6.0
10.0
fouls
9.5
2.0
yellow cards
3.5

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Armenia LW 1.50 2.00–1.50 1L
Cyprus DL 0.50 0.50–1.00 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Armenia1 01 00
Cyprus0 20 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Armenia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Cyprus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.