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Romania
VS Scheduled Europe 26/27 UEFA Nations League · Matchday 5
Poland
Recent matches

Romania

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Romania2–4Bosnia and Herzegovina
2026-09-25 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Sweden2–1Romania

Poland

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Sweden3–1Poland
2026-09-25 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Poland0–0Bosnia and Herzegovina
Romania Poland

Wins

0%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

100%
50%

Both teams scored

100%
50%

Clean sheets

0%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Romania Home Poland Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

UEFA Nations League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Romania

2 matches
Goals & resultsHome1 matchesAway1 matchesOverall2 matches
Points / match0.000.000.00
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.001.001.50
Goals conceded / match4.002.003.00
Total goals / match6.003.004.50
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 1/1 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3011
31–4501
46–6001
61–7510
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Poland

2 matches
Goals & resultsHome1 matchesAway1 matchesOverall2 matches
Points / match1.000.000.50
Draws100.0%0.0%50.0%
Goals scored / match0.001.000.50
Goals conceded / match0.003.001.50
Total goals / match0.004.002.00
Failed to score100.0%0.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%0.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 1/1 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3000
31–4510
46–6000
61–7502
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelRomaniaDraw PolandHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.2% 29.3% 30.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 55.7% 20.9% 21.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.08–1.20 Model expected goals
61.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
59.7% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 9.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-19.8%
1-19.4%
2-08.1%
1-07.8%
3-16.8%
2-25.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureRomaniaPoland How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1475 1486 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -17 -12 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1501 1504 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Romania 1.000.50 2.500.50
Poland 0.500.00 0.501.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Romania 0%0%0%50%50%
Poland 50%0%0%0%50%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.00 Romania at home, 1 matches
0.00 Poland away, 1 matches
47d Days of rest for Romania
47d Days of rest for Poland
— Manager of Romania
— Manager of Poland
0 Matches for Romania in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Poland in the last 14 days
9 Points for Romania behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
8 Points for Poland behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.46 League goals per match
30.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Romania, the right bar represents Poland.

On the ball

20 matches
4.0
corners
3.5
16.0
fouls
13.5
—
yellow cards
3.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Romania LL 0.00 1.50–3.00 2L
Poland LD 0.50 0.50–1.50 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Romania0 02 00
Poland0 20 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Romania

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Poland

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.