Ararat

Ararat

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202617:00

Armenia 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 10

Shirak

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ararat1–0Gandzasar
2026-09-20	26/27	Gandzasar0–1Ararat
2026-09-12	26/27	Gandzasar0–2Ararat
2026-09-05	26/27	Ararat0–1Ararat-Armenia
2026-08-30	26/27	Noah4–0Ararat
2026-08-21	26/27	Ararat0–2Pyunik
2026-08-15	26/27	BKMA1–2Ararat
2026-08-07	26/27	Ararat1–2Sardarapat

Shirak

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Shirak1–3Ararat-Armenia
2026-09-13	26/27	Pyunik2–0Shirak
2026-09-06	26/27	Shirak2–0Sardarapat
2026-08-29	26/27	Van0–4Shirak
2026-08-22	26/27	Shirak0–1Urartu
2026-08-14	26/27	Gandzasar0–1Shirak
2026-08-09	26/27	Shirak3–4Noah
2026-08-01	26/27	BKMA0–0Shirak

Ararat Shirak

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Both teams scored

25%

Clean sheets

38%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ararat

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Ararat		Noah	1
6	Ararat	0–1	Ararat-Armenia	2	47′ Away
6	Ararat	0–2	Pyunik	3	85′ Away
6	Ararat		Alashkert	4
6	Ararat	1–2	Sardarapat	5	20′ Away
6 · Ararat
6	Ararat		Urartu	7
6	Ararat		Shirak	8
6	Ararat		BKMA	9
6	Ararat		Van	10
6	Ararat	1–0	Gandzasar	11	—

Shirak

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Noah		Shirak	8
2	Ararat-Armenia		Shirak	8
3	Pyunik	2–0	Shirak	8	69′ Home
4	Alashkert		Shirak	8
5	Sardarapat		Shirak	8
6	Ararat		Shirak	8
7	Urartu		Shirak	8
8 · Shirak
9	BKMA	0–0	Shirak	8	–
10	Van	0–4	Shirak	8	20′ Away
11	Gandzasar	0–1	Shirak	8	27′ Away

Ararat Home Shirak Away

Wins

25%

50%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

25%

Over 3.5

0%

25%

Both teams scored

25%

0%

Clean sheets

25%

75%

Scores first

25%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ararat

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.75	1.80	1.33
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.00	0.78
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.60	1.44
Total goals / match	1.75	2.60	2.22
Failed to score	50.0%	40.0%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	40.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Shirak

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.75	1.75	1.25
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.25	1.38
Goals conceded / match	2.00	0.50	1.25
Total goals / match	3.50	1.75	2.62
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	75.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	2	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ararat	Draw	Shirak	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	15.0%	25.5%	59.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.62–1.54 Model expected goals

36.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.3% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 17.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-117.7%

0-213.6%

0-011.5%

1-111.1%

1-28.5%

1-07.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ararat	Shirak	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ararat	0.22	0.56	0.67	0.78
Shirak	0.75	0.62	0.50	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ararat	0%	33%	22%	33%	11%
Shirak	12%	25%	25%	0%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.75 Ararat at home, 4 matches

1.75 Shirak away, 4 matches

27d Days of rest for Ararat

27d Days of rest for Shirak

— Manager of Ararat

— Manager of Shirak

0 Matches for Ararat in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Shirak in the last 14 days

12 Points for Ararat behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Shirak behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.85 League goals per match

18.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ararat, the right bar represents Shirak.

On the ball

20 matches

6.4

corners

6.0

7.86

fouls

12.8

3.33

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ararat	WWWLLLWLL	1.33	0.78–1.44	3W
Shirak	LLWWLWLD	1.25	1.38–1.25	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ararat	1	6	2	0	0
Shirak	3	4	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ararat

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Shirak

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.