Van

Van

VS Scheduled Friday 23 Oct 202612:30

Armenia 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 11

Ararat

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Noah2–0Van
2026-09-11	26/27	Van2–1BKMA
2026-09-03	26/27	Alashkert4–0Van
2026-08-29	26/27	Van0–4Shirak
2026-08-20	26/27	Van1–1Gandzasar
2026-08-15	26/27	Ararat-Armenia2–0Van
2026-08-09	26/27	Pyunik3–0Van
2026-07-31	26/27	Van1–4Sardarapat

Ararat

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ararat1–0Gandzasar
2026-09-20	26/27	Gandzasar0–1Ararat
2026-09-12	26/27	Gandzasar0–2Ararat
2026-09-05	26/27	Ararat0–1Ararat-Armenia
2026-08-30	26/27	Noah4–0Ararat
2026-08-21	26/27	Ararat0–2Pyunik
2026-08-15	26/27	BKMA1–2Ararat
2026-08-07	26/27	Ararat1–2Sardarapat

Van Ararat

Wins

12%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

38%

Both teams scored

38%

25%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Van

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Van		Noah	1
10	Van		Ararat-Armenia	2
10	Van		Pyunik	3
10	Van		Alashkert	4
10	Van	1–4	Sardarapat	5	31′ Away
10	Van		Ararat	6
10	Van		Urartu	7
10	Van	0–4	Shirak	8	20′ Away
10	Van	2–1	BKMA	9	—
10 · Van
10	Van	1–1	Gandzasar	11	37′ Home

Ararat

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Noah	4–0	Ararat	6	20′ Home
2	Ararat-Armenia		Ararat	6
3	Pyunik		Ararat	6
4	Alashkert	3–0	Ararat	6	54′ Home
5	Sardarapat		Ararat	6
6 · Ararat
7	Urartu		Ararat	6
8	Shirak		Ararat	6
9	BKMA	1–2	Ararat	6	36′ Away
10	Van		Ararat	6
11	Gandzasar	0–2	Ararat	6	5′ Away
11	Gandzasar	0–1	Ararat	6	—

Van Home Ararat Away

Wins

25%

60%

Over 1.5

100%

80%

Over 2.5

75%

60%

Over 3.5

50%

20%

Both teams scored

75%

20%

Clean sheets

0%

40%

Scores first

25%

60%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Van

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	2.50	2.75	2.62
Total goals / match	3.50	2.75	3.12
Failed to score	25.0%	100.0%	62.5%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ararat

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.75	1.80	1.33
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.00	0.78
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.60	1.44
Total goals / match	1.75	2.60	2.22
Failed to score	50.0%	40.0%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	40.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Van	Draw	Ararat	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	14.5%	24.9%	60.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.62–1.58 Model expected goals

37.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.7% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 17.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-117.4%

0-213.8%

0-011.0%

1-110.9%

1-28.6%

0-37.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Van	Ararat	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Van	0.12	0.38	1.38	1.25
Ararat	0.22	0.56	0.67	0.78

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Van	0%	0%	38%	25%	38%
Ararat	0%	33%	22%	33%	11%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Van at home, 4 matches

1.80 Ararat away, 5 matches

35d Days of rest for Van

33d Days of rest for Ararat

— Manager of Van

— Manager of Ararat

0 Matches for Van in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Ararat in the last 14 days

20 Points for Van behind the leaders, and -6 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Ararat behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.85 League goals per match

18.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Van, the right bar represents Ararat.

On the ball

20 matches

2.5

corners

6.4

11.0

fouls

7.86

3.0

yellow cards

3.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Van	LWLLDLLL	0.50	0.50–2.62	1L
Ararat	WWWLLLWLL	1.33	0.78–1.44	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Van	0	3	5	1	0
Ararat	1	6	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Van

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ararat

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.