Ararat

Ararat

VS Scheduled Friday 5 Mar 202700:00

Armenia 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 20

Urartu

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ararat1–0Gandzasar
2026-09-20	26/27	Gandzasar0–1Ararat
2026-09-12	26/27	Gandzasar0–2Ararat
2026-09-05	26/27	Ararat0–1Ararat-Armenia
2026-08-30	26/27	Noah4–0Ararat
2026-08-21	26/27	Ararat0–2Pyunik
2026-08-15	26/27	BKMA1–2Ararat
2026-08-07	26/27	Ararat1–2Sardarapat

Urartu

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Gandzasar0–3Urartu
2026-09-12	26/27	Urartu0–3Noah
2026-09-06	26/27	BKMA2–1Urartu
2026-08-28	26/27	Urartu1–1Alashkert
2026-08-22	26/27	Shirak0–1Urartu
2026-08-13	26/27	Urartu3–0Gandzasar
2026-08-07	26/27	Ararat-Armenia2–1Urartu
2026-08-02	26/27	Urartu2–2Pyunik

Ararat Urartu

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

75%

Both teams scored

25%

50%

Clean sheets

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ararat

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Ararat		Noah	1
6	Ararat	0–1	Ararat-Armenia	2	47′ Away
6	Ararat	0–2	Pyunik	3	85′ Away
6	Ararat		Alashkert	4
6	Ararat	1–2	Sardarapat	5	20′ Away
6 · Ararat
6	Ararat		Urartu	7
6	Ararat		Shirak	8
6	Ararat		BKMA	9
6	Ararat		Van	10
6	Ararat	1–0	Gandzasar	11	—

Urartu

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Noah		Urartu	7
2	Ararat-Armenia	2–1	Urartu	7	22′ Home
3	Pyunik		Urartu	7
4	Alashkert		Urartu	7
5	Sardarapat		Urartu	7
6	Ararat		Urartu	7
7 · Urartu
8	Shirak	0–1	Urartu	7	68′ Away
9	BKMA	2–1	Urartu	7	21′ Home
10	Van		Urartu	7
11	Gandzasar	0–3	Urartu	7	17′ Away

Ararat Home Urartu Away

Wins

25%

50%

Over 1.5

50%

75%

Over 2.5

25%

75%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

25%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Scores first

25%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ararat

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.75	1.80	1.33
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.00	0.78
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.60	1.44
Total goals / match	1.75	2.60	2.22
Failed to score	50.0%	40.0%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	40.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Urartu

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.50	1.38
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.50	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.00	1.25
Total goals / match	3.00	2.50	2.75
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	2	2
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ararat	Draw	Urartu	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	13.5%	23.6%	62.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.62–1.67 Model expected goals

39.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

37.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.8%

0-214.1%

1-110.5%

0-010.1%

1-28.8%

0-37.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ararat	Urartu	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ararat	0.22	0.56	0.67	0.78
Urartu	0.75	0.75	0.62	0.62

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ararat	0%	33%	22%	33%	11%
Urartu	0%	12%	12%	62%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.75 Ararat at home, 4 matches

1.50 Urartu away, 4 matches

166d Days of rest for Ararat

168d Days of rest for Urartu

— Manager of Ararat

— Manager of Urartu

0 Matches for Ararat in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Urartu in the last 14 days

12 Points for Ararat behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Urartu behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.85 League goals per match

18.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ararat, the right bar represents Urartu.

On the ball

20 matches

6.4

corners

5.25

7.86

fouls

10.2

3.33

yellow cards

1.86

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ararat	WWWLLLWLL	1.33	0.78–1.44	3W
Urartu	WLLDWWLD	1.38	1.50–1.25	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ararat	1	6	2	0	0
Urartu	3	2	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ararat

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Urartu

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.