Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

VS Scheduled Thursday 11 Mar 202700:00

Armenia 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 21

BKMA

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Shirak1–3Ararat-Armenia
2026-09-11	26/27	Ararat-Armenia3–0Gandzasar
2026-09-05	26/27	Ararat0–1Ararat-Armenia
2026-08-31	26/27	Pyunik2–1Ararat-Armenia
2026-08-23	26/27	Ararat-Armenia1–1Sardarapat
2026-08-15	26/27	Ararat-Armenia2–0Van
2026-08-07	26/27	Ararat-Armenia2–1Urartu
2026-08-01	26/27	Gandzasar3–4Ararat-Armenia

BKMA

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	BKMA1–1Sardarapat
2026-09-11	26/27	Van2–1BKMA
2026-09-06	26/27	BKMA2–1Urartu
2026-08-30	26/27	Gandzasar0–3BKMA
2026-08-23	26/27	BKMA0–1Noah
2026-08-15	26/27	BKMA1–2Ararat
2026-08-10	26/27	Alashkert3–0BKMA
2026-08-01	26/27	BKMA0–0Shirak

Ararat-Armenia BKMA

Wins

75%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

38%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ararat-Armenia

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Ararat-Armenia		Noah	1
2 · Ararat-Armenia
2	Ararat-Armenia		Pyunik	3
2	Ararat-Armenia		Alashkert	4
2	Ararat-Armenia	1–1	Sardarapat	5	6′ Home
2	Ararat-Armenia		Ararat	6
2	Ararat-Armenia	2–1	Urartu	7	22′ Home
2	Ararat-Armenia		Shirak	8
2	Ararat-Armenia		BKMA	9
2	Ararat-Armenia	2–0	Van	10	47′ Home
2	Ararat-Armenia	3–0	Gandzasar	11	18′ Home

BKMA

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Noah		BKMA	9
2	Ararat-Armenia		BKMA	9
3	Pyunik		BKMA	9
4	Alashkert	3–0	BKMA	9	3′ Home
5	Sardarapat		BKMA	9
6	Ararat		BKMA	9
7	Urartu		BKMA	9
8	Shirak		BKMA	9
9 · BKMA
10	Van	2–1	BKMA	9	—
11	Gandzasar	0–3	BKMA	9	66′ Away

Ararat-Armenia Home BKMA Away

Wins

75%

33%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

100%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

50%

33%

Clean sheets

50%

33%

Scores first

100%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ararat-Armenia

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.50	2.25	2.38
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	2.00	2.25	2.12
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	2.50	3.75	3.12
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 4	25%
Scores first → wins	3 of 4	75%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	2	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

BKMA

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	40.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	0.80	1.33	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.67	1.25
Total goals / match	1.80	3.00	2.25
Failed to score	40.0%	33.3%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	0.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ararat-Armenia	Draw	BKMA	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	58.6%	23.8%	16.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.70–0.77 Model expected goals

44.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.6% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.3%

2-012.2%

1-111.1%

2-19.4%

0-08.5%

3-06.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ararat-Armenia	BKMA	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ararat-Armenia	1.00	1.12	0.62	0.38
BKMA	0.38	0.62	0.38	0.88

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ararat-Armenia	0%	12%	25%	38%	25%
BKMA	12%	12%	12%	62%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.50 Ararat-Armenia at home, 4 matches

1.00 BKMA away, 3 matches

172d Days of rest for Ararat-Armenia

173d Days of rest for BKMA

— Manager of Ararat-Armenia

— Manager of BKMA

0 Matches for Ararat-Armenia in the last 14 days

0 Matches for BKMA in the last 14 days

5 Points for Ararat-Armenia behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

16 Points for BKMA behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.85 League goals per match

18.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ararat-Armenia, the right bar represents BKMA.

On the ball

20 matches

5.57

corners

3.5

11.2

fouls

7.0

2.57

yellow cards

2.2

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ararat-Armenia	WWWLDWWW	2.38	2.12–1.00	3W
BKMA	DLWWLLLD	1.00	1.00–1.25	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ararat-Armenia	3	4	1	0	0
BKMA	2	5	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ararat-Armenia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

BKMA

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.