Ararat

Ararat

VS Scheduled Friday 19 Mar 202700:00

Armenia 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 22

Van

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ararat1–0Gandzasar
2026-09-20	26/27	Gandzasar0–1Ararat
2026-09-12	26/27	Gandzasar0–2Ararat
2026-09-05	26/27	Ararat0–1Ararat-Armenia
2026-08-30	26/27	Noah4–0Ararat
2026-08-21	26/27	Ararat0–2Pyunik
2026-08-15	26/27	BKMA1–2Ararat
2026-08-07	26/27	Ararat1–2Sardarapat

Van

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Noah2–0Van
2026-09-11	26/27	Van2–1BKMA
2026-09-03	26/27	Alashkert4–0Van
2026-08-29	26/27	Van0–4Shirak
2026-08-20	26/27	Van1–1Gandzasar
2026-08-15	26/27	Ararat-Armenia2–0Van
2026-08-09	26/27	Pyunik3–0Van
2026-07-31	26/27	Van1–4Sardarapat

Ararat Van

Wins

50%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

25%

38%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ararat

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Ararat		Noah	1
6	Ararat	0–1	Ararat-Armenia	2	47′ Away
6	Ararat	0–2	Pyunik	3	85′ Away
6	Ararat		Alashkert	4
6	Ararat	1–2	Sardarapat	5	20′ Away
6 · Ararat
6	Ararat		Urartu	7
6	Ararat		Shirak	8
6	Ararat		BKMA	9
6	Ararat		Van	10
6	Ararat	1–0	Gandzasar	11	—

Van

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Noah	2–0	Van	10	65′ Home
2	Ararat-Armenia	2–0	Van	10	47′ Home
3	Pyunik	3–0	Van	10	13′ Home
4	Alashkert	4–0	Van	10	8′ Home
5	Sardarapat		Van	10
6	Ararat		Van	10
7	Urartu		Van	10
8	Shirak		Van	10
9	BKMA		Van	10
10 · Van
11	Gandzasar		Van	10

Ararat Home Van Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

25%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

25%

Both teams scored

25%

0%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

25%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ararat

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.75	1.80	1.33
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.00	0.78
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.60	1.44
Total goals / match	1.75	2.60	2.22
Failed to score	50.0%	40.0%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	40.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Van

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	2.50	2.75	2.62
Total goals / match	3.50	2.75	3.12
Failed to score	25.0%	100.0%	62.5%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	4
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ararat	Draw	Van	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	54.4%	29.0%	16.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.31–0.58 Model expected goals

29.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

31.8% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 19.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-019.9%

0-015.2%

2-013.0%

1-111.5%

0-18.8%

2-17.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ararat	Van	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ararat	0.22	0.56	0.67	0.78
Van	0.12	0.38	1.38	1.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ararat	0%	33%	22%	33%	11%
Van	0%	0%	38%	25%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.75 Ararat at home, 4 matches

0.00 Van away, 4 matches

180d Days of rest for Ararat

182d Days of rest for Van

— Manager of Ararat

— Manager of Van

0 Matches for Ararat in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Van in the last 14 days

12 Points for Ararat behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

20 Points for Van behind the leaders, and -6 above the relegation zone

2.85 League goals per match

18.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ararat, the right bar represents Van.

On the ball

20 matches

6.4

corners

2.5

7.86

fouls

11.0

3.33

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ararat	WWWLLLWLL	1.33	0.78–1.44	3W
Van	LWLLDLLL	0.50	0.50–2.62	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ararat	1	6	2	0	0
Van	0	3	5	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ararat

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Van

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.