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Karabakh
VS Scheduled Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 8
Neftchi
Recent matches

Karabakh

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Karabakh1–0Safa
2026-09-13 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Zira1–1Karabakh
2026-09-06 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Karabakh3–2Araz
2026-08-31 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Sumqayıt0–1Karabakh
2026-08-17 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Karabakh3–1Inter Baku

Neftchi

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Qəbələ0–3Neftchi
2026-09-11 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Mil-Muğan2–3Neftchi
2026-09-05 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Neftchi4–1Safa
2026-08-30 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Zira1–0Neftchi
2026-08-23 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Neftchi5–0Araz
2026-08-16 Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa 26/27 Sumqayıt1–3Neftchi
Karabakh Neftchi

Wins

80%
83%

Over 2.5 goals

40%
83%

Both teams scored

60%
50%

Clean sheets

40%
33%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Karabakh

Home · Premyer Liqa
HomeAway1st goal
3 Karabakh Neftchi 1
3 Karabakh Sabah 2
3 · Karabakh
3 Karabakh Turan 4
3 Karabakh Zira 5
3 Karabakh 3–1 Inter Baku 6 —
3 Karabakh Kapaz 7
3 Karabakh Mil-Muğan 8
3 Karabakh Qəbələ 9
3 Karabakh 1–0 Safa 10 61′ Home
3 Karabakh Sumqayıt 11
3 Karabakh 3–2 Araz 12 8′ Home

Neftchi

Away · Premyer Liqa
HomeAway1st goal
1 · Neftchi
2 Sabah Neftchi 1
3 Karabakh Neftchi 1
4 Turan Neftchi 1
5 Zira 1–0 Neftchi 1 45+3′ Home
6 Inter Baku Neftchi 1
7 Kapaz Neftchi 1
8 Mil-Muğan 2–3 Neftchi 1 11′ Away
9 Qəbələ 0–3 Neftchi 1 25′ Away
10 Safa Neftchi 1
11 Sumqayıt 1–3 Neftchi 1 23′ Away
12 Araz Neftchi 1
Karabakh Home Neftchi Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Karabakh

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.002.002.60
Draws0.0%50.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match2.331.001.80
Goals conceded / match1.000.500.80
Total goals / match3.331.502.60
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%100.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Neftchi

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway4 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match3.002.252.50
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match4.502.253.00
Goals conceded / match0.501.000.83
Total goals / match5.003.253.83
Failed to score0.0%25.0%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3031
31–4512
46–6010
61–7501
76–9030

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelKarabakhDraw NeftchiHow it works
Goals (Poisson) 18.1% 21.2% 59.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.00–2.00 Model expected goals
55.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
53.4% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 10.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-110.0%
0-210.0%
1-110.0%
1-210.0%
0-36.7%
1-36.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureKarabakhNeftchi How to read it
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Karabakh 0.601.20 0.200.60
Neftchi 1.671.33 0.500.33

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Karabakh 0%40%20%0%40%
Neftchi 0%17%0%17%67%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Karabakh at home, 3 matches
2.25 Neftchi away, 4 matches
28d Days of rest for Karabakh
28d Days of rest for Neftchi
— Manager of Karabakh
— Manager of Neftchi
0 Matches for Karabakh in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Neftchi in the last 14 days
2 Points for Karabakh behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Neftchi behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
20.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Karabakh, the right bar represents Neftchi.

On the ball

20 matches
7.4
corners
4.83
12.75
fouls
4.0
1.5
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Karabakh WDWWW 2.60 1.80–0.80 1W
Neftchi WWWLWW 2.50 3.00–0.83 3W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Karabakh2 30 00
Neftchi4 11 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Karabakh

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Neftchi

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.