Mil-Muğan

VS Scheduled Friday 23 Oct 202601:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 9

Recent matches

Mil-Muğan

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Sabah3–1Mil-Muğan
2026-09-11	26/27	Mil-Muğan2–3Neftchi
2026-09-04	26/27	Qəbələ2–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-29	26/27	Safa0–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-22	26/27	Zira3–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-15	26/27	Araz0–0Mil-Muğan

Inter Baku

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Inter Baku2–1Araz
2026-09-12	26/27	Sumqayıt1–1Inter Baku
2026-09-04	26/27	Kapaz1–4Inter Baku
2026-08-29	26/27	Qəbələ0–0Inter Baku
2026-08-23	26/27	Turan0–0Inter Baku
2026-08-17	26/27	Karabakh3–1Inter Baku

Mil-Muğan Inter Baku

Wins

17%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

50%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mil-Muğan

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Mil-Muğan	2–3	Neftchi	1	11′ Away
8	Mil-Muğan		Sabah	2
8	Mil-Muğan		Karabakh	3
8	Mil-Muğan		Turan	4
8	Mil-Muğan		Zira	5
8	Mil-Muğan		Inter Baku	6
8	Mil-Muğan		Kapaz	7
8 · Mil-Muğan
8	Mil-Muğan		Qəbələ	9
8	Mil-Muğan		Safa	10
8	Mil-Muğan		Sumqayıt	11
8	Mil-Muğan		Araz	12

Inter Baku

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Neftchi		Inter Baku	6
2	Sabah		Inter Baku	6
3	Karabakh	3–1	Inter Baku	6	—
4	Turan	0–0	Inter Baku	6	–
5	Zira		Inter Baku	6
6 · Inter Baku
7	Kapaz	1–4	Inter Baku	6	9′ Away
8	Mil-Muğan		Inter Baku	6
9	Qəbələ	0–0	Inter Baku	6	–
10	Safa		Inter Baku	6
11	Sumqayıt	1–1	Inter Baku	6	25′ Home
12	Araz		Inter Baku	6

Mil-Muğan Home Inter Baku Away

Wins

0%

20%

Over 1.5

100%

60%

Over 2.5

100%

40%

Over 3.5

100%

40%

Both teams scored

100%

60%

Clean sheets

0%

40%

Scores first

0%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Mil-Muğan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away5 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.00	0.80	0.67
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.80	1.00
Goals conceded / match	3.00	1.60	1.83
Total goals / match	5.00	2.40	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	40.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 1/1 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Inter Baku

6 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away5 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.20	1.50
Draws	0.0%	60.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.20	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	2.20	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	60.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Mil-Muğan	Draw	Inter Baku	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	8.2%	15.4%	72.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.67–2.43 Model expected goals

56.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

42.5% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 13.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-213.3%

0-111.0%

0-310.8%

1-28.9%

1-17.3%

1-37.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Mil-Muğan	Inter Baku	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Mil-Muğan	0.50	0.50	1.00	0.83
Inter Baku	0.83	0.50	0.50	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Mil-Muğan	17%	17%	0%	17%	50%
Inter Baku	33%	0%	17%	17%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.00 Mil-Muğan at home, 1 matches

1.20 Inter Baku away, 5 matches

34d Days of rest for Mil-Muğan

33d Days of rest for Inter Baku

— Manager of Mil-Muğan

— Manager of Inter Baku

0 Matches for Mil-Muğan in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Inter Baku in the last 14 days

11 Points for Mil-Muğan behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Inter Baku behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mil-Muğan, the right bar represents Inter Baku.

On the ball

20 matches

5.5

corners

5.25

10.25

fouls

26.0

3.2

yellow cards

2.25

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Mil-Muğan	LLLWLD	0.67	1.00–1.83	3L
Inter Baku	WDWDDL	1.50	1.33–1.00	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Mil-Muğan	0	4	2	0	0
Inter Baku	2	3	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mil-Muğan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Inter Baku

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.