Safa

VS Scheduled Thursday 5 Nov 202600:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 11

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Karabakh1–0Safa
2026-09-14	26/27	Safa0–3Sabah
2026-09-05	26/27	Neftchi4–1Safa
2026-08-29	26/27	Safa0–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-22	26/27	Qəbələ0–1Safa
2026-08-16	26/27	Zira2–0Safa

Araz

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Inter Baku2–1Araz
2026-09-13	26/27	Araz2–2Turan
2026-09-06	26/27	Karabakh3–2Araz
2026-08-31	26/27	Araz0–1Sabah
2026-08-23	26/27	Neftchi5–0Araz
2026-08-15	26/27	Araz0–0Mil-Muğan

Safa Araz

Wins

17%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

67%

Both teams scored

17%

50%

Clean sheets

17%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Safa

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Safa		Neftchi	1
10	Safa	0–3	Sabah	2	25′ Away
10	Safa		Karabakh	3
10	Safa		Turan	4
10	Safa		Zira	5
10	Safa		Inter Baku	6
10	Safa		Kapaz	7
10	Safa	0–1	Mil-Muğan	8	55′ Away
10	Safa		Qəbələ	9
10 · Safa
10	Safa		Sumqayıt	11
10	Safa		Araz	12

Araz

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Neftchi	5–0	Araz	12	14′ Home
2	Sabah		Araz	12
3	Karabakh	3–2	Araz	12	8′ Home
4	Turan		Araz	12
5	Zira		Araz	12
6	Inter Baku	2–1	Araz	12	27′ Home
7	Kapaz		Araz	12
8	Mil-Muğan		Araz	12
9	Qəbələ		Araz	12
10	Safa		Araz	12
11	Sumqayıt		Araz	12
12 · Araz

Safa Home Araz Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

50%

100%

Over 3.5

0%

67%

Both teams scored

0%

67%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Safa

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.00	0.75	0.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	0.00	0.50	0.33
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.75	1.83
Total goals / match	2.00	2.25	2.17
Failed to score	100.0%	50.0%	66.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	75.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Araz

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.67	0.00	0.33
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	0.67	1.00	0.83
Goals conceded / match	1.00	3.33	2.17
Total goals / match	1.67	4.33	3.00
Failed to score	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	3
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Safa	Draw	Araz	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	21.5%	25.9%	52.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.87–1.52 Model expected goals

42.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.0% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.0%

1-112.1%

0-210.6%

1-29.2%

0-09.2%

1-08.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Safa	Araz	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Safa	0.00	0.33	0.67	1.17
Araz	0.33	0.50	1.17	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Safa	0%	50%	17%	17%	17%
Araz	17%	17%	0%	17%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.00 Safa at home, 2 matches

0.00 Araz away, 3 matches

48d Days of rest for Safa

46d Days of rest for Araz

— Manager of Safa

— Manager of Araz

0 Matches for Safa in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Araz in the last 14 days

12 Points for Safa behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Araz behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Safa, the right bar represents Araz.

On the ball

20 matches

2.83

corners

4.17

6.5

fouls

12.0

2.0

yellow cards

2.8

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Safa	LLLLWL	0.50	0.33–1.83	4L
Araz	LDLLLD	0.33	0.83–2.17	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Safa	0	3	3	0	0
Araz	1	2	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Safa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Araz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.