Inter Baku

Inter Baku

VS Scheduled Monday 30 Nov 202600:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 10

Neftchi

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Inter Baku2–1Araz
2026-09-12	26/27	Sumqayıt1–1Inter Baku
2026-09-04	26/27	Kapaz1–4Inter Baku
2026-08-29	26/27	Qəbələ0–0Inter Baku
2026-08-23	26/27	Turan0–0Inter Baku
2026-08-17	26/27	Karabakh3–1Inter Baku

Neftchi

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Qəbələ0–3Neftchi
2026-09-11	26/27	Mil-Muğan2–3Neftchi
2026-09-05	26/27	Neftchi4–1Safa
2026-08-30	26/27	Zira1–0Neftchi
2026-08-23	26/27	Neftchi5–0Araz
2026-08-16	26/27	Sumqayıt1–3Neftchi

Inter Baku Neftchi

Wins

33%

83%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

83%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Inter Baku

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Inter Baku		Neftchi	1
6	Inter Baku		Sabah	2
6	Inter Baku		Karabakh	3
6	Inter Baku		Turan	4
6	Inter Baku		Zira	5
6 · Inter Baku
6	Inter Baku		Kapaz	7
6	Inter Baku		Mil-Muğan	8
6	Inter Baku		Qəbələ	9
6	Inter Baku		Safa	10
6	Inter Baku		Sumqayıt	11
6	Inter Baku	2–1	Araz	12	27′ Home

Neftchi

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Neftchi
2	Sabah		Neftchi	1
3	Karabakh		Neftchi	1
4	Turan		Neftchi	1
5	Zira	1–0	Neftchi	1	45+3′ Home
6	Inter Baku		Neftchi	1
7	Kapaz		Neftchi	1
8	Mil-Muğan	2–3	Neftchi	1	11′ Away
9	Qəbələ	0–3	Neftchi	1	25′ Away
10	Safa		Neftchi	1
11	Sumqayıt	1–3	Neftchi	1	23′ Away
12	Araz		Neftchi	1

Inter Baku Home Neftchi Away

Wins

100%

75%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

100%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Scores first

100%

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Inter Baku

6 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away5 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.20	1.50
Draws	0.0%	60.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.20	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	2.20	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	60.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 1/1 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Neftchi

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.25	2.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	4.50	2.25	3.00
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.00	0.83
Total goals / match	5.00	3.25	3.83
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	3	1
31–45	1	2
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Inter Baku	Draw	Neftchi	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	8.9%	15.3%	71.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.74–2.50 Model expected goals

58.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.6% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 12.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-212.3%

0-310.2%

0-19.8%

1-29.0%

1-37.5%

1-17.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Inter Baku	Neftchi	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Inter Baku	0.83	0.50	0.50	0.50
Neftchi	1.67	1.33	0.50	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Inter Baku	33%	0%	17%	17%	33%
Neftchi	0%	17%	0%	17%	67%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Inter Baku at home, 1 matches

2.25 Neftchi away, 4 matches

71d Days of rest for Inter Baku

73d Days of rest for Neftchi

— Manager of Inter Baku

— Manager of Neftchi

0 Matches for Inter Baku in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Neftchi in the last 14 days

6 Points for Inter Baku behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Neftchi behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Inter Baku, the right bar represents Neftchi.

On the ball

20 matches

5.25

corners

4.83

26.0

fouls

4.0

2.25

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Inter Baku	WDWDDL	1.50	1.33–1.00	1W
Neftchi	WWWLWW	2.50	3.00–0.83	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Inter Baku	2	3	1	0	0
Neftchi	4	1	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Inter Baku

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Neftchi

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.