Neftchi

Neftchi

VS Scheduled Friday 29 Jan 202700:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 18

Karabakh

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Qəbələ0–3Neftchi
2026-09-11	26/27	Mil-Muğan2–3Neftchi
2026-09-05	26/27	Neftchi4–1Safa
2026-08-30	26/27	Zira1–0Neftchi
2026-08-23	26/27	Neftchi5–0Araz
2026-08-16	26/27	Sumqayıt1–3Neftchi

Karabakh

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Karabakh1–0Safa
2026-09-13	26/27	Zira1–1Karabakh
2026-09-06	26/27	Karabakh3–2Araz
2026-08-31	26/27	Sumqayıt0–1Karabakh
2026-08-17	26/27	Karabakh3–1Inter Baku

Neftchi Karabakh

Wins

83%

80%

Over 2.5 goals

83%

40%

Both teams scored

50%

60%

Clean sheets

33%

40%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Neftchi

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Neftchi
1	Neftchi		Sabah	2
1	Neftchi		Karabakh	3
1	Neftchi		Turan	4
1	Neftchi		Zira	5
1	Neftchi		Inter Baku	6
1	Neftchi		Kapaz	7
1	Neftchi		Mil-Muğan	8
1	Neftchi		Qəbələ	9
1	Neftchi	4–1	Safa	10	35′ Home
1	Neftchi		Sumqayıt	11
1	Neftchi	5–0	Araz	12	14′ Home

Karabakh

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Neftchi		Karabakh	3
2	Sabah		Karabakh	3
3 · Karabakh
4	Turan		Karabakh	3
5	Zira	1–1	Karabakh	3	56′ Home
6	Inter Baku		Karabakh	3
7	Kapaz		Karabakh	3
8	Mil-Muğan		Karabakh	3
9	Qəbələ		Karabakh	3
10	Safa		Karabakh	3
11	Sumqayıt	0–1	Karabakh	3	45′ Away
12	Araz		Karabakh	3

Neftchi Home Karabakh Away

Wins

100%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

100%

0%

Over 3.5

100%

0%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

50%

Scores first

100%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Neftchi

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.25	2.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	4.50	2.25	3.00
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.00	0.83
Total goals / match	5.00	3.25	3.83
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	3	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Karabakh

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.60
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	1.00	1.80
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.50	0.80
Total goals / match	3.33	1.50	2.60
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	100.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Neftchi	Draw	Karabakh	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	39.8%	23.8%	35.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.60–1.49 Model expected goals

58.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.1% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.8%

2-18.7%

1-28.1%

1-07.3%

0-16.8%

2-26.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Neftchi	Karabakh	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Neftchi	1.67	1.33	0.50	0.33
Karabakh	0.60	1.20	0.20	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Neftchi	0%	17%	0%	17%	67%
Karabakh	0%	40%	20%	0%	40%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Neftchi at home, 2 matches

2.00 Karabakh away, 2 matches

133d Days of rest for Neftchi

133d Days of rest for Karabakh

— Manager of Neftchi

— Manager of Karabakh

0 Matches for Neftchi in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Karabakh in the last 14 days

0 Points for Neftchi behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Karabakh behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Neftchi, the right bar represents Karabakh.

On the ball

20 matches

4.83

corners

7.4

4.0

fouls

12.75

2.0

yellow cards

1.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Neftchi	WWWLWW	2.50	3.00–0.83	3W
Karabakh	WDWWW	2.60	1.80–0.80	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Neftchi	4	1	1	0	0
Karabakh	2	3	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Neftchi

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Karabakh

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.