Mil-Muğan

VS Scheduled Friday 12 Feb 202700:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 20

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Sabah3–1Mil-Muğan
2026-09-11	26/27	Mil-Muğan2–3Neftchi
2026-09-04	26/27	Qəbələ2–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-29	26/27	Safa0–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-22	26/27	Zira3–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-15	26/27	Araz0–0Mil-Muğan

Kapaz

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Kapaz1–1Sumqayıt
2026-09-12	26/27	Kapaz1–0Qəbələ
2026-09-04	26/27	Kapaz1–4Inter Baku
2026-08-30	26/27	Kapaz1–0Turan
2026-08-15	26/27	Sabah2–0Kapaz

Mil-Muğan Kapaz

Wins

17%

40%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

20%

Both teams scored

67%

40%

Clean sheets

33%

40%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mil-Muğan

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Mil-Muğan	2–3	Neftchi	1	11′ Away
8	Mil-Muğan		Sabah	2
8	Mil-Muğan		Karabakh	3
8	Mil-Muğan		Turan	4
8	Mil-Muğan		Zira	5
8	Mil-Muğan		Inter Baku	6
8	Mil-Muğan		Kapaz	7
8 · Mil-Muğan
8	Mil-Muğan		Qəbələ	9
8	Mil-Muğan		Safa	10
8	Mil-Muğan		Sumqayıt	11
8	Mil-Muğan		Araz	12

Kapaz

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Neftchi		Kapaz	7
2	Sabah	2–0	Kapaz	7	72′ Home
3	Karabakh		Kapaz	7
4	Turan		Kapaz	7
5	Zira		Kapaz	7
6	Inter Baku		Kapaz	7
7 · Kapaz
8	Mil-Muğan		Kapaz	7
9	Qəbələ		Kapaz	7
10	Safa		Kapaz	7
11	Sumqayıt		Kapaz	7
12	Araz		Kapaz	7

Mil-Muğan Home Kapaz Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

0%

Over 3.5

100%

0%

Both teams scored

100%

0%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Mil-Muğan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away5 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.00	0.80	0.67
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.80	1.00
Goals conceded / match	3.00	1.60	1.83
Total goals / match	5.00	2.40	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	40.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 1/1 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kapaz

5 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away1 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.00	1.40
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.80
Goals conceded / match	1.25	2.00	1.40
Total goals / match	2.25	2.00	2.20
Failed to score	0.0%	100.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 1/1 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Mil-Muğan	Draw	Kapaz	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	24.0%	26.5%	49.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.93–1.46 Model expected goals

42.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

46.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.3%

1-112.4%

0-29.7%

1-29.1%

0-09.1%

1-08.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Mil-Muğan	Kapaz	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Mil-Muğan	0.50	0.50	1.00	0.83
Kapaz	0.00	0.80	0.60	0.80

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Mil-Muğan	17%	17%	0%	17%	50%
Kapaz	0%	40%	40%	0%	20%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.00 Mil-Muğan at home, 1 matches

0.00 Kapaz away, 1 matches

146d Days of rest for Mil-Muğan

145d Days of rest for Kapaz

— Manager of Mil-Muğan

— Manager of Kapaz

0 Matches for Mil-Muğan in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Kapaz in the last 14 days

11 Points for Mil-Muğan behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Kapaz behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mil-Muğan, the right bar represents Kapaz.

On the ball

20 matches

5.5

corners

2.0

10.25

fouls

15.67

3.2

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Mil-Muğan	LLLWLD	0.67	1.00–1.83	3L
Kapaz	DWLWL	1.40	0.80–1.40	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Mil-Muğan	0	4	2	0	0
Kapaz	0	3	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mil-Muğan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kapaz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.