Neftchi

Neftchi

VS Scheduled Friday 12 Feb 202700:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 20

Inter Baku

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Qəbələ0–3Neftchi
2026-09-11	26/27	Mil-Muğan2–3Neftchi
2026-09-05	26/27	Neftchi4–1Safa
2026-08-30	26/27	Zira1–0Neftchi
2026-08-23	26/27	Neftchi5–0Araz
2026-08-16	26/27	Sumqayıt1–3Neftchi

Inter Baku

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Inter Baku2–1Araz
2026-09-12	26/27	Sumqayıt1–1Inter Baku
2026-09-04	26/27	Kapaz1–4Inter Baku
2026-08-29	26/27	Qəbələ0–0Inter Baku
2026-08-23	26/27	Turan0–0Inter Baku
2026-08-17	26/27	Karabakh3–1Inter Baku

Neftchi Inter Baku

Wins

83%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

83%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

67%

Clean sheets

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Neftchi

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Neftchi
1	Neftchi		Sabah	2
1	Neftchi		Karabakh	3
1	Neftchi		Turan	4
1	Neftchi		Zira	5
1	Neftchi		Inter Baku	6
1	Neftchi		Kapaz	7
1	Neftchi		Mil-Muğan	8
1	Neftchi		Qəbələ	9
1	Neftchi	4–1	Safa	10	35′ Home
1	Neftchi		Sumqayıt	11
1	Neftchi	5–0	Araz	12	14′ Home

Inter Baku

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Neftchi		Inter Baku	6
2	Sabah		Inter Baku	6
3	Karabakh	3–1	Inter Baku	6	—
4	Turan	0–0	Inter Baku	6	–
5	Zira		Inter Baku	6
6 · Inter Baku
7	Kapaz	1–4	Inter Baku	6	9′ Away
8	Mil-Muğan		Inter Baku	6
9	Qəbələ	0–0	Inter Baku	6	–
10	Safa		Inter Baku	6
11	Sumqayıt	1–1	Inter Baku	6	25′ Home
12	Araz		Inter Baku	6

Neftchi Home Inter Baku Away

Wins

100%

20%

Over 1.5

100%

60%

Over 2.5

100%

40%

Over 3.5

100%

40%

Both teams scored

50%

60%

Clean sheets

50%

40%

Scores first

100%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Neftchi

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.25	2.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	4.50	2.25	3.00
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.00	0.83
Total goals / match	5.00	3.25	3.83
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	3	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Inter Baku

6 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away5 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.20	1.50
Draws	0.0%	60.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.20	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	2.20	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	60.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Neftchi	Draw	Inter Baku	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	56.5%	21.4%	20.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.00–1.10 Model expected goals

58.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 9.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-19.9%

2-19.9%

1-09.0%

2-09.0%

3-16.6%

3-06.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Neftchi	Inter Baku	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Neftchi	1.67	1.33	0.50	0.33
Inter Baku	0.83	0.50	0.50	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Neftchi	0%	17%	0%	17%	67%
Inter Baku	33%	0%	17%	17%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Neftchi at home, 2 matches

1.20 Inter Baku away, 5 matches

147d Days of rest for Neftchi

145d Days of rest for Inter Baku

— Manager of Neftchi

— Manager of Inter Baku

0 Matches for Neftchi in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Inter Baku in the last 14 days

0 Points for Neftchi behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Inter Baku behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Neftchi, the right bar represents Inter Baku.

On the ball

20 matches

4.83

corners

5.25

4.0

fouls

26.0

2.0

yellow cards

2.25

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Neftchi	WWWLWW	2.50	3.00–0.83	3W
Inter Baku	WDWDDL	1.50	1.33–1.00	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Neftchi	4	1	1	0	0
Inter Baku	2	3	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Neftchi

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Inter Baku

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.