Kapaz

Kapaz

VS Scheduled Friday 19 Feb 202700:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 21

Neftchi

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Kapaz1–1Sumqayıt
2026-09-12	26/27	Kapaz1–0Qəbələ
2026-09-04	26/27	Kapaz1–4Inter Baku
2026-08-30	26/27	Kapaz1–0Turan
2026-08-15	26/27	Sabah2–0Kapaz

Neftchi

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Qəbələ0–3Neftchi
2026-09-11	26/27	Mil-Muğan2–3Neftchi
2026-09-05	26/27	Neftchi4–1Safa
2026-08-30	26/27	Zira1–0Neftchi
2026-08-23	26/27	Neftchi5–0Araz
2026-08-16	26/27	Sumqayıt1–3Neftchi

Kapaz Neftchi

Wins

40%

83%

Over 2.5 goals

20%

83%

Both teams scored

40%

50%

Clean sheets

40%

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Kapaz

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Kapaz		Neftchi	1
7	Kapaz		Sabah	2
7	Kapaz		Karabakh	3
7	Kapaz	1–0	Turan	4	47′ Home
7	Kapaz		Zira	5
7	Kapaz	1–4	Inter Baku	6	9′ Away
7 · Kapaz
7	Kapaz		Mil-Muğan	8
7	Kapaz	1–0	Qəbələ	9	64′ Home
7	Kapaz		Safa	10
7	Kapaz	1–1	Sumqayıt	11	35′ Away
7	Kapaz		Araz	12

Neftchi

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Neftchi
2	Sabah		Neftchi	1
3	Karabakh		Neftchi	1
4	Turan		Neftchi	1
5	Zira	1–0	Neftchi	1	45+3′ Home
6	Inter Baku		Neftchi	1
7	Kapaz		Neftchi	1
8	Mil-Muğan	2–3	Neftchi	1	11′ Away
9	Qəbələ	0–3	Neftchi	1	25′ Away
10	Safa		Neftchi	1
11	Sumqayıt	1–3	Neftchi	1	23′ Away
12	Araz		Neftchi	1

Kapaz Home Neftchi Away

Wins

50%

75%

Over 1.5

50%

75%

Over 2.5

25%

75%

Over 3.5

25%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Scores first

50%

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Kapaz

5 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away1 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.00	1.40
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.80
Goals conceded / match	1.25	2.00	1.40
Total goals / match	2.25	2.00	2.20
Failed to score	0.0%	100.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	2	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Neftchi

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.25	2.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	4.50	2.25	3.00
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.00	0.83
Total goals / match	5.00	3.25	3.83
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	3	1
31–45	1	2
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Kapaz	Draw	Neftchi	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	6.9%	14.3%	74.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.60–2.50 Model expected goals

55.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

39.5% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 14.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-214.1%

0-311.7%

0-111.3%

1-28.4%

0-47.3%

1-37.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Kapaz	Neftchi	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Kapaz	0.00	0.80	0.60	0.80
Neftchi	1.67	1.33	0.50	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Kapaz	0%	40%	40%	0%	20%
Neftchi	0%	17%	0%	17%	67%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Kapaz at home, 4 matches

2.25 Neftchi away, 4 matches

152d Days of rest for Kapaz

154d Days of rest for Neftchi

— Manager of Kapaz

— Manager of Neftchi

0 Matches for Kapaz in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Neftchi in the last 14 days

8 Points for Kapaz behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Neftchi behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Kapaz, the right bar represents Neftchi.

On the ball

20 matches

2.0

corners

4.83

15.67

fouls

4.0

2.5

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Kapaz	DWLWL	1.40	0.80–1.40	1D
Neftchi	WWWLWW	2.50	3.00–0.83	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Kapaz	0	3	2	0	0
Neftchi	4	1	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Kapaz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Neftchi

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.