Araz

VS Scheduled Friday 19 Feb 202700:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 21

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Inter Baku2–1Araz
2026-09-13	26/27	Araz2–2Turan
2026-09-06	26/27	Karabakh3–2Araz
2026-08-31	26/27	Araz0–1Sabah
2026-08-23	26/27	Neftchi5–0Araz
2026-08-15	26/27	Araz0–0Mil-Muğan

Safa

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Karabakh1–0Safa
2026-09-14	26/27	Safa0–3Sabah
2026-09-05	26/27	Neftchi4–1Safa
2026-08-29	26/27	Safa0–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-22	26/27	Qəbələ0–1Safa
2026-08-16	26/27	Zira2–0Safa

Araz Safa

Wins

0%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

17%

Clean sheets

17%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Araz

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Araz		Neftchi	1
12	Araz	0–1	Sabah	2	49′ Away
12	Araz		Karabakh	3
12	Araz	2–2	Turan	4	—
12	Araz		Zira	5
12	Araz		Inter Baku	6
12	Araz		Kapaz	7
12	Araz	0–0	Mil-Muğan	8	–
12	Araz		Qəbələ	9
12	Araz		Safa	10
12	Araz		Sumqayıt	11
12 · Araz

Safa

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Neftchi	4–1	Safa	10	35′ Home
2	Sabah		Safa	10
3	Karabakh	1–0	Safa	10	61′ Home
4	Turan		Safa	10
5	Zira	2–0	Safa	10	41′ Home
6	Inter Baku		Safa	10
7	Kapaz		Safa	10
8	Mil-Muğan		Safa	10
9	Qəbələ	0–1	Safa	10	69′ Away
10 · Safa
11	Sumqayıt		Safa	10
12	Araz		Safa	10

Araz Home Safa Away

Wins

0%

25%

Over 1.5

33%

50%

Over 2.5

33%

25%

Over 3.5

33%

25%

Both teams scored

33%

25%

Clean sheets

33%

25%

Scores first

33%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Araz

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.67	0.00	0.33
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	0.67	1.00	0.83
Goals conceded / match	1.00	3.33	2.17
Total goals / match	1.67	4.33	3.00
Failed to score	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Safa

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.00	0.75	0.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	0.00	0.50	0.33
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.75	1.83
Total goals / match	2.00	2.25	2.17
Failed to score	100.0%	50.0%	66.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	75.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	2
46–60	1	1
61–75	1	3
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Araz	Draw	Safa	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	37.9%	31.9%	30.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.01–0.87 Model expected goals

29.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.9% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 15.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-015.4%

0-015.2%

1-113.4%

0-113.2%

2-07.8%

2-16.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Araz	Safa	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Araz	0.33	0.50	1.17	1.00
Safa	0.00	0.33	0.67	1.17

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Araz	17%	17%	0%	17%	50%
Safa	0%	50%	17%	17%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.67 Araz at home, 3 matches

0.75 Safa away, 4 matches

152d Days of rest for Araz

154d Days of rest for Safa

— Manager of Araz

— Manager of Safa

0 Matches for Araz in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Safa in the last 14 days

13 Points for Araz behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Safa behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Araz, the right bar represents Safa.

On the ball

20 matches

4.17

corners

2.83

12.0

fouls

6.5

2.8

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Araz	LDLLLD	0.33	0.83–2.17	1L
Safa	LLLLWL	0.50	0.33–1.83	4L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Araz	1	2	3	0	1
Safa	0	3	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Araz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Safa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.