Karabakh

VS Scheduled Friday 12 Mar 202700:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 24

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Karabakh1–0Safa
2026-09-13	26/27	Zira1–1Karabakh
2026-09-06	26/27	Karabakh3–2Araz
2026-08-31	26/27	Sumqayıt0–1Karabakh
2026-08-17	26/27	Karabakh3–1Inter Baku

Mil-Muğan

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Sabah3–1Mil-Muğan
2026-09-11	26/27	Mil-Muğan2–3Neftchi
2026-09-04	26/27	Qəbələ2–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-29	26/27	Safa0–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-22	26/27	Zira3–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-15	26/27	Araz0–0Mil-Muğan

Karabakh Mil-Muğan

Wins

80%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

67%

Both teams scored

60%

67%

Clean sheets

40%

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Karabakh

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Karabakh		Neftchi	1
3	Karabakh		Sabah	2
3 · Karabakh
3	Karabakh		Turan	4
3	Karabakh		Zira	5
3	Karabakh	3–1	Inter Baku	6	—
3	Karabakh		Kapaz	7
3	Karabakh		Mil-Muğan	8
3	Karabakh		Qəbələ	9
3	Karabakh	1–0	Safa	10	61′ Home
3	Karabakh		Sumqayıt	11
3	Karabakh	3–2	Araz	12	8′ Home

Mil-Muğan

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Neftchi		Mil-Muğan	8
2	Sabah	3–1	Mil-Muğan	8	—
3	Karabakh		Mil-Muğan	8
4	Turan		Mil-Muğan	8
5	Zira	3–1	Mil-Muğan	8	43′ Home
6	Inter Baku		Mil-Muğan	8
7	Kapaz		Mil-Muğan	8
8 · Mil-Muğan
9	Qəbələ	2–1	Mil-Muğan	8	14′ Home
10	Safa	0–1	Mil-Muğan	8	55′ Away
11	Sumqayıt		Mil-Muğan	8
12	Araz	0–0	Mil-Muğan	8	–

Karabakh Home Mil-Muğan Away

Wins

100%

20%

Over 1.5

67%

60%

Over 2.5

67%

60%

Over 3.5

67%

40%

Both teams scored

67%

60%

Clean sheets

33%

40%

Scores first

N/A

20%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Karabakh

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.60
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	1.00	1.80
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.50	0.80
Total goals / match	3.33	1.50	2.60
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	100.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Mil-Muğan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away5 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.00	0.80	0.67
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.80	1.00
Goals conceded / match	3.00	1.60	1.83
Total goals / match	5.00	2.40	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	40.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Karabakh	Draw	Mil-Muğan	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	66.8%	18.5%	12.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.20–0.80 Model expected goals

55.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.6% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 12.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-012.1%

1-011.0%

2-19.6%

3-08.8%

1-18.8%

3-17.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Karabakh	Mil-Muğan	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Karabakh	0.60	1.20	0.20	0.60
Mil-Muğan	0.50	0.50	1.00	0.83

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Karabakh	0%	40%	20%	0%	40%
Mil-Muğan	17%	17%	0%	17%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Karabakh at home, 3 matches

0.80 Mil-Muğan away, 5 matches

175d Days of rest for Karabakh

174d Days of rest for Mil-Muğan

— Manager of Karabakh

— Manager of Mil-Muğan

0 Matches for Karabakh in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Mil-Muğan in the last 14 days

2 Points for Karabakh behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Mil-Muğan behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Karabakh, the right bar represents Mil-Muğan.

On the ball

20 matches

7.4

corners

5.5

12.75

fouls

10.25

1.5

yellow cards

3.2

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Karabakh	WDWWW	2.60	1.80–0.80	1W
Mil-Muğan	LLLWLD	0.67	1.00–1.83	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Karabakh	2	3	0	0	0
Mil-Muğan	0	4	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Karabakh

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Mil-Muğan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.