Sumqayıt

VS Scheduled Friday 9 Apr 202701:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 27

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Kapaz1–1Sumqayıt
2026-09-12	26/27	Sumqayıt1–1Inter Baku
2026-09-06	26/27	Turan2–1Sumqayıt
2026-08-31	26/27	Sumqayıt0–1Karabakh
2026-08-16	26/27	Sumqayıt1–3Neftchi

Safa

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Karabakh1–0Safa
2026-09-14	26/27	Safa0–3Sabah
2026-09-05	26/27	Neftchi4–1Safa
2026-08-29	26/27	Safa0–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-22	26/27	Qəbələ0–1Safa
2026-08-16	26/27	Zira2–0Safa

Sumqayıt Safa

Wins

0%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

33%

Both teams scored

80%

17%

Clean sheets

0%

17%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sumqayıt

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Sumqayıt	1–3	Neftchi	1	23′ Away
11	Sumqayıt		Sabah	2
11	Sumqayıt	0–1	Karabakh	3	45′ Away
11	Sumqayıt		Turan	4
11	Sumqayıt		Zira	5
11	Sumqayıt	1–1	Inter Baku	6	25′ Home
11	Sumqayıt		Kapaz	7
11	Sumqayıt		Mil-Muğan	8
11	Sumqayıt		Qəbələ	9
11	Sumqayıt		Safa	10
11 · Sumqayıt
11	Sumqayıt		Araz	12

Safa

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Neftchi	4–1	Safa	10	35′ Home
2	Sabah		Safa	10
3	Karabakh	1–0	Safa	10	61′ Home
4	Turan		Safa	10
5	Zira	2–0	Safa	10	41′ Home
6	Inter Baku		Safa	10
7	Kapaz		Safa	10
8	Mil-Muğan		Safa	10
9	Qəbələ	0–1	Safa	10	69′ Away
10 · Safa
11	Sumqayıt		Safa	10
12	Araz		Safa	10

Sumqayıt Home Safa Away

Wins

0%

25%

Over 1.5

67%

50%

Over 2.5

33%

25%

Over 3.5

33%

25%

Both teams scored

67%

25%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Scores first

33%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sumqayıt

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	0.33	0.50	0.40
Draws	33.3%	50.0%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	0.67	1.00	0.80
Goals conceded / match	1.67	1.50	1.60
Total goals / match	2.33	2.50	2.40
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	50.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	2
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Safa

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.00	0.75	0.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	0.00	0.50	0.33
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.75	1.83
Total goals / match	2.00	2.25	2.17
Failed to score	100.0%	50.0%	66.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	75.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	2
46–60	1	1
61–75	1	3
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sumqayıt	Draw	Safa	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	42.3%	34.4%	23.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.98–0.64 Model expected goals

22.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

29.4% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 19.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-019.9%

1-019.4%

0-112.7%

1-112.4%

2-09.5%

2-16.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sumqayıt	Safa	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sumqayıt	0.60	0.20	0.80	0.80
Safa	0.00	0.33	0.67	1.17

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sumqayıt	0%	20%	40%	20%	20%
Safa	0%	50%	17%	17%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.33 Sumqayıt at home, 3 matches

0.75 Safa away, 4 matches

201d Days of rest for Sumqayıt

203d Days of rest for Safa

— Manager of Sumqayıt

— Manager of Safa

0 Matches for Sumqayıt in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Safa in the last 14 days

13 Points for Sumqayıt behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Safa behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sumqayıt, the right bar represents Safa.

On the ball

20 matches

3.0

corners

2.83

12.0

fouls

6.5

2.33

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sumqayıt	DDLLL	0.40	0.80–1.60	2D
Safa	LLLLWL	0.50	0.33–1.83	4L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sumqayıt	2	1	2	0	2
Safa	0	3	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sumqayıt

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Safa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.