Qəbələ

Qəbələ

VS Scheduled Friday 21 May 202701:00

Azerbaijan 26/27 Premyer Liqa · Matchday 33

Mil-Muğan

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

QəbələWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Mil-MuğanWins: 0

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-04	26/27	Qəbələ2–1Mil-Muğan

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Qəbələ0–3Neftchi
2026-09-12	26/27	Kapaz1–0Qəbələ
2026-09-04	26/27	Qəbələ2–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-29	26/27	Qəbələ0–0Inter Baku
2026-08-22	26/27	Qəbələ0–1Safa
2026-08-14	26/27	Turan1–0Qəbələ

Mil-Muğan

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Sabah3–1Mil-Muğan
2026-09-11	26/27	Mil-Muğan2–3Neftchi
2026-09-04	26/27	Qəbələ2–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-29	26/27	Safa0–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-22	26/27	Zira3–1Mil-Muğan
2026-08-15	26/27	Araz0–0Mil-Muğan

Qəbələ Mil-Muğan

Wins

17%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

67%

Both teams scored

17%

67%

Clean sheets

17%

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Qəbələ

Home · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Qəbələ	0–3	Neftchi	1	25′ Away
9	Qəbələ		Sabah	2
9	Qəbələ		Karabakh	3
9	Qəbələ		Turan	4
9	Qəbələ		Zira	5
9	Qəbələ	0–0	Inter Baku	6	–
9	Qəbələ		Kapaz	7
9	Qəbələ	2–1	Mil-Muğan	8	14′ Home
9 · Qəbələ
9	Qəbələ	0–1	Safa	10	69′ Away
9	Qəbələ		Sumqayıt	11
9	Qəbələ		Araz	12

Mil-Muğan

Away · Premyer Liqa

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Neftchi		Mil-Muğan	8
2	Sabah	3–1	Mil-Muğan	8	—
3	Karabakh		Mil-Muğan	8
4	Turan		Mil-Muğan	8
5	Zira	3–1	Mil-Muğan	8	43′ Home
6	Inter Baku		Mil-Muğan	8
7	Kapaz		Mil-Muğan	8
8 · Mil-Muğan
9	Qəbələ	2–1	Mil-Muğan	8	14′ Home
10	Safa	0–1	Mil-Muğan	8	55′ Away
11	Sumqayıt		Mil-Muğan	8
12	Araz	0–0	Mil-Muğan	8	–

Qəbələ Home Mil-Muğan Away

Wins

25%

20%

Over 1.5

50%

60%

Over 2.5

50%

60%

Over 3.5

0%

40%

Both teams scored

25%

60%

Clean sheets

25%

40%

Scores first

25%

20%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premyer Liqa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Qəbələ

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.00	0.67
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	0.50	0.00	0.33
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.00	1.17
Total goals / match	1.75	1.00	1.50
Failed to score	75.0%	100.0%	83.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	100.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Mil-Muğan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away5 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.00	0.80	0.67
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.80	1.00
Goals conceded / match	3.00	1.60	1.83
Total goals / match	5.00	2.40	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	40.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Qəbələ	Draw	Mil-Muğan	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	23.0%	30.7%	46.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.73–1.17 Model expected goals

29.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

35.7% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 17.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-117.5%

0-014.9%

1-112.8%

1-010.9%

0-210.2%

1-27.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Qəbələ	Mil-Muğan	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Qəbələ	0.17	0.17	0.50	0.67
Mil-Muğan	0.50	0.50	1.00	0.83

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Qəbələ	17%	50%	0%	33%	0%
Mil-Muğan	17%	17%	0%	17%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Qəbələ at home, 4 matches

0.80 Mil-Muğan away, 5 matches

245d Days of rest for Qəbələ

244d Days of rest for Mil-Muğan

— Manager of Qəbələ

— Manager of Mil-Muğan

0 Matches for Qəbələ in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Mil-Muğan in the last 14 days

11 Points for Qəbələ behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Mil-Muğan behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

20.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Qəbələ, the right bar represents Mil-Muğan.

On the ball

20 matches

4.2

corners

5.5

10.0

fouls

10.25

1.75

yellow cards

3.2

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Qəbələ	LLWDLL	0.67	0.33–1.17	2L
Mil-Muğan	LLLWLD	0.67	1.00–1.83	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Qəbələ	0	4	2	0	0
Mil-Muğan	0	4	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Qəbələ

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Mil-Muğan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.