Čelik

Čelik

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202601:00

Bosnia and Herzegovina 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 10

Zrinjski

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

ČelikWins: 0
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
ZrinjskiWins: 1

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-09	26/27	Zrinjski2–1Čelik

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Željezničar1–1Čelik
2026-09-11	26/27	Čelik3–2Radnik
2026-09-05	26/27	BSK Banja Luka3–2Čelik
2026-09-01	26/27	Sloga Doboj0–0Čelik
2026-08-28	26/27	Čelik3–0Velež
2026-08-23	26/27	Borac2–0Čelik
2026-08-14	26/27	Čelik1–2Široki Brijeg
2026-08-09	26/27	Zrinjski2–1Čelik

Zrinjski

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Zrinjski2–0Velež
2026-09-12	26/27	Borac1–0Zrinjski
2026-09-06	26/27	Zrinjski2–1Široki Brijeg
2026-09-01	26/27	Zrinjski3–1BSK Banja Luka
2026-08-29	26/27	Sarajevo0–1Zrinjski
2026-08-23	26/27	Zrinjski2–0Željezničar
2026-08-16	26/27	Radnik1–5Zrinjski
2026-08-09	26/27	Zrinjski2–1Čelik

Čelik Zrinjski

Wins

25%

88%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Čelik

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Čelik		Zrinjski	1
7	Čelik		Borac	2
7	Čelik		Sarajevo	3
7	Čelik		Željezničar	4
7	Čelik	1–2	Široki Brijeg	5	40′ Away
7	Čelik		Sloga Doboj	6
7 · Čelik
7	Čelik		BSK Banja Luka	8
7	Čelik	3–0	Velež	9	28′ Home
7	Čelik	3–2	Radnik	10	9′ Home

Zrinjski

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Zrinjski
2	Borac	1–0	Zrinjski	1	44′ Home
3	Sarajevo	0–1	Zrinjski	1	65′ Away
4	Željezničar		Zrinjski	1
5	Široki Brijeg		Zrinjski	1
6	Sloga Doboj		Zrinjski	1
7	Čelik		Zrinjski	1
8	BSK Banja Luka		Zrinjski	1
9	Velež		Zrinjski	1
10	Radnik	1–5	Zrinjski	1	18′ Away

Čelik Home Zrinjski Away

Wins

67%

Over 1.5

100%

33%

Over 2.5

100%

33%

Over 3.5

33%

Both teams scored

67%

33%

Clean sheets

33%

Scores first

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Čelik

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.40	1.00
Draws	0.0%	40.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	0.80	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.60	1.50
Total goals / match	3.67	2.40	2.88
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	60.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	2	0
31–45	1	2
46–60	1	1
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Zrinjski

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.62
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.20	2.00	2.12
Goals conceded / match	0.60	0.67	0.62
Total goals / match	2.80	2.67	2.75
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	66.7%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	2
46–60	2	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Čelik	Draw	Zrinjski	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	7.4%	14.6%	73.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.64–2.50 Model expected goals

56.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

41.4% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 13.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-213.5%

0-311.3%

0-110.8%

1-28.7%

1-37.2%

0-47.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Čelik	Zrinjski	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Čelik	0.75	0.62	0.50	1.00
Zrinjski	0.88	1.25	0.50	0.12

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Čelik	12%	0%	25%	38%	25%
Zrinjski	0%	25%	25%	25%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Čelik at home, 3 matches

2.00 Zrinjski away, 3 matches

29d Days of rest for Čelik

28d Days of rest for Zrinjski

— Manager of Čelik

— Manager of Zrinjski

0 Matches for Čelik in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Zrinjski in the last 14 days

13 Points for Čelik behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Zrinjski behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

2.60 League goals per match

25.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Čelik, the right bar represents Zrinjski.

On the ball

20 matches

3.38

corners

5.4

11.6

fouls

11.8

3.0

yellow cards

2.4

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Čelik	DWLDWLLL	1.00	1.38–1.50	1D
Zrinjski	WLWWWWWW	2.62	2.12–0.62	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Čelik	3	3	2	0	1
Zrinjski	4	3	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Čelik

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Zrinjski

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.