Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- VeležWins
- 0
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- ČelikWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 3.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 0.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Čelik3–0Velež |
Recent matches
Velež
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Zrinjski2–0Velež |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Velež1–0Sarajevo |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Željezničar3–1Velež |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Velež1–1Radnik |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Čelik3–0Velež |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Velež2–0Sloga Doboj |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
BSK Banja Luka2–0Velež |
| 2026-08-09 |
26/27
|
Borac3–1Velež |
Čelik
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 |
26/27
|
Željezničar1–1Čelik |
| 2026-09-11 |
26/27
|
Čelik3–2Radnik |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
BSK Banja Luka3–2Čelik |
| 2026-09-01 |
26/27
|
Sloga Doboj0–0Čelik |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Čelik3–0Velež |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Borac2–0Čelik |
| 2026-08-14 |
26/27
|
Čelik1–2Široki Brijeg |
| 2026-08-09 |
26/27
|
Zrinjski2–1Čelik |
Velež
Čelik
Wins
25%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
62%
Both teams scored
38%
62%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Velež
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Velež | Zrinjski | 1 | ||
| 9 | Velež | Borac | 2 | ||
| 9 | Velež | 1–0 | Sarajevo | 3 | 58′ Home |
| 9 | Velež | Željezničar | 4 | ||
| 9 | Velež | Široki Brijeg | 5 | ||
| 9 | Velež | 2–0 | Sloga Doboj | 6 | 10′ Home |
| 9 | Velež | Čelik | 7 | ||
| 9 | Velež | BSK Banja Luka | 8 | ||
| 9 · Velež | |||||
| 9 | Velež | 1–1 | Radnik | 10 | 62′ Away |
Čelik
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 2–1 | Čelik | 7 | 26′ Home |
| 2 | Borac | 2–0 | Čelik | 7 | 42′ Home |
| 3 | Sarajevo | Čelik | 7 | ||
| 4 | Željezničar | 1–1 | Čelik | 7 | 56′ Away |
| 5 | Široki Brijeg | Čelik | 7 | ||
| 6 | Sloga Doboj | 0–0 | Čelik | 7 | – |
| 7 · Čelik | |||||
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 3–2 | Čelik | 7 | 28′ Away |
| 9 | Velež | Čelik | 7 | ||
| 10 | Radnik | Čelik | 7 | ||
Velež Home
Čelik Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Velež
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away5 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.33 | 0.00 | 0.88 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 0.0% | 12.5% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.33 | 0.40 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.33 | 2.60 | 1.75 |
| Total goals / match | 1.67 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 60.0% | 37.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 40.0% | 62.5% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 21 of 2 | 50%50% |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 22 of 2 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 10 of 6 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 8/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 1 |
| 76–90 | 2 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Čelik
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away5 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.00 | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 40.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.33 | 0.80 | 1.38 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.33 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Total goals / match | 3.67 | 2.40 | 2.88 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 40.0% | 25.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 60.0% | 37.5% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 23 of 4 | 50%75% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 22 of 4 | 0%50% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 20 of 3 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 5/5 away.Scoring order known: 8/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 3 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 1 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Velež | Draw | Čelik | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals (Poisson) | 8.9% | 15.8% | 71.6% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.70–2.42
Model expected goals
56.6%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
44.1%
Both teams to score
0-2
Most likely score, at 12.9%
Most likely scores
0-212.9%
0-110.7%
0-310.4%
1-29.1%
1-17.5%
1-37.3%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Velež | Čelik | How to read it |
|---|
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež | 0.12 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Čelik | 0.75 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež | 0% | 12% | 50% | 12% | 25% |
| Čelik | 12% | 0% | 25% | 38% | 25% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.33
Velež at home, 3 matches
0.40
Čelik away, 5 matches
49d
Days of rest for Velež
50d
Days of rest for Čelik
—
Manager of Velež
—
Manager of Čelik
0
Matches for Velež in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Čelik in the last 14 days
14
Points for Velež behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
13
Points for Čelik behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.60
League goals per match
25.0%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Velež, the right bar represents Čelik.
On the ball
4.75
3.38
corners
9.4
11.6
fouls
2.0
3.0
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež | LWLDLWLL | 0.88 | 0.75–1.75 | 1L |
| Čelik | DWLDWLLL | 1.00 | 1.38–1.50 | 1D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Čelik | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Velež
No absences reported.
Čelik
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.