Sarajevo

Sarajevo

VS Scheduled Sunday 30 May 202701:00

Bosnia and Herzegovina 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 36

Čelik

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Sarajevo2–0Sloga Doboj
2026-09-13	26/27	Velež1–0Sarajevo
2026-09-09	26/27	Željezničar2–0Sarajevo
2026-09-06	26/27	Sarajevo1–0Borac
2026-09-02	26/27	Široki Brijeg1–2Sarajevo
2026-08-29	26/27	Sarajevo0–1Zrinjski
2026-08-21	26/27	Sarajevo1–0BSK Banja Luka
2026-08-08	26/27	Sarajevo0–0Radnik

Čelik

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Željezničar1–1Čelik
2026-09-11	26/27	Čelik3–2Radnik
2026-09-05	26/27	BSK Banja Luka3–2Čelik
2026-09-01	26/27	Sloga Doboj0–0Čelik
2026-08-28	26/27	Čelik3–0Velež
2026-08-23	26/27	Borac2–0Čelik
2026-08-14	26/27	Čelik1–2Široki Brijeg
2026-08-09	26/27	Zrinjski2–1Čelik

Sarajevo Čelik

Wins

50%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

12%

62%

Both teams scored

12%

62%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sarajevo

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Sarajevo	0–1	Zrinjski	1	65′ Away
3	Sarajevo	1–0	Borac	2	53′ Home
3 · Sarajevo
3	Sarajevo		Željezničar	4
3	Sarajevo		Široki Brijeg	5
3	Sarajevo	2–0	Sloga Doboj	6	16′ Home
3	Sarajevo		Čelik	7
3	Sarajevo	1–0	BSK Banja Luka	8	33′ Home
3	Sarajevo		Velež	9
3	Sarajevo	0–0	Radnik	10	–

Čelik

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Zrinjski	2–1	Čelik	7	26′ Home
2	Borac	2–0	Čelik	7	42′ Home
3	Sarajevo		Čelik	7
4	Željezničar	1–1	Čelik	7	56′ Away
5	Široki Brijeg		Čelik	7
6	Sloga Doboj	0–0	Čelik	7	–
7 · Čelik
8	BSK Banja Luka	3–2	Čelik	7	28′ Away
9	Velež		Čelik	7
10	Radnik		Čelik	7

Sarajevo Home Čelik Away

Wins

60%

0%

Over 1.5

20%

80%

Over 2.5

0%

40%

Over 3.5

0%

20%

Both teams scored

0%

60%

Clean sheets

80%

20%

Scores first

60%

40%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sarajevo

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.00	1.62
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	0.80	0.67	0.75
Goals conceded / match	0.20	1.33	0.62
Total goals / match	1.00	2.00	1.38
Failed to score	40.0%	66.7%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	66.7%	87.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Čelik

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.40	1.00
Draws	0.0%	40.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	0.80	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.60	1.50
Total goals / match	3.67	2.40	2.88
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	60.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	0 of 2	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	3
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sarajevo	Draw	Čelik	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	27.7%	35.7%	36.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.70–0.86 Model expected goals

20.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

29.0% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 21.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-021.0%

0-118.0%

1-014.8%

1-112.7%

0-27.7%

1-25.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sarajevo	Čelik	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sarajevo	0.25	0.50	0.00	0.62
Čelik	0.75	0.62	0.50	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sarajevo	12%	50%	25%	12%	0%
Čelik	12%	0%	25%	38%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Sarajevo at home, 5 matches

0.40 Čelik away, 5 matches

252d Days of rest for Sarajevo

254d Days of rest for Čelik

— Manager of Sarajevo

— Manager of Čelik

0 Matches for Sarajevo in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Čelik in the last 14 days

8 Points for Sarajevo behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Čelik behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.60 League goals per match

25.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sarajevo, the right bar represents Čelik.

On the ball

20 matches

4.83

corners

3.38

16.25

fouls

11.6

2.71

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sarajevo	WLLWWLWD	1.62	0.75–0.62	1W
Čelik	DWLDWLLL	1.00	1.38–1.50	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sarajevo	2	6	0	0	0
Čelik	3	3	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sarajevo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Čelik

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.