Levski

Levski

VS Scheduled Sunday 20 Sep 202618:30

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 10

Ludogorets

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–0Levski
2026-09-05	26/27	Levski1–0CSKA 1948
2026-09-02	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–2Levski
2026-08-30	26/27	Botev Plovdiv1–3Levski
2026-08-22	26/27	Levski6–0Spartak Varna
2026-08-07	26/27	Levski2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-01	26/27	Levski3–0Septemvri
2026-07-25	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–2Levski

Ludogorets

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-14	26/27	Ludogorets2–1Septemvri
2026-09-06	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–2Ludogorets
2026-08-30	26/27	Spartak Varna1–1Ludogorets
2026-08-22	26/27	Ludogorets1–1Slavia Sofia
2026-08-15	26/27	Ludogorets2–0Botev Plovdiv
2026-08-09	26/27	Cherno More2–3Ludogorets
2026-08-02	26/27	Ludogorets2–1Botev Vratsa
2026-07-27	26/27	Dunav0–2Ludogorets

Levski Ludogorets

Wins

88%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

62%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Levski

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Levski
1	Levski		CSKA Sofia	2
1	Levski		Ludogorets	3
1	Levski	1–0	CSKA 1948	4	58′ Home
1	Levski		Arda	5
1	Levski		Botev Plovdiv	6
1	Levski		Slavia Sofia	7
1	Levski	6–0	Spartak Varna	8	8′ Home
1	Levski		Botev Vratsa	9
1	Levski	3–0	Septemvri	10	34′ Home
1	Levski		Lokomotiv Sf	11
1	Levski	2–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	5′ Home
1	Levski		Cherno More	13
1	Levski	2–1	Dunav	14	22′ Home

Ludogorets

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski		Ludogorets	3
2	CSKA Sofia		Ludogorets	3
3 · Ludogorets
4	CSKA 1948		Ludogorets	3
5	Arda		Ludogorets	3
6	Botev Plovdiv		Ludogorets	3
7	Slavia Sofia		Ludogorets	3
8	Spartak Varna	1–1	Ludogorets	3	64′ Home
9	Botev Vratsa		Ludogorets	3
10	Septemvri		Ludogorets	3
11	Lokomotiv Sf	1–2	Ludogorets	3	4′ Away
12	Lok Plovdiv		Ludogorets	3
13	Cherno More	2–3	Ludogorets	3	30′ Home
14	Dunav	0–2	Ludogorets	3	14′ Away

Levski Home Ludogorets Away

Wins

100%

75%

Over 1.5

80%

100%

Over 2.5

60%

50%

Over 3.5

20%

25%

Both teams scored

20%

75%

Clean sheets

80%

25%

Scores first

100%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Levski

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.50	2.78
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Goals scored / match	2.80	1.75	2.33
Goals conceded / match	0.20	0.75	0.44
Total goals / match	3.00	2.50	2.78
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 5	80%
Scores first → wins	5 of 5	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	5	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ludogorets

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.60	2.50	2.56
Draws	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.60	2.00	1.78
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.00	0.78
Total goals / match	2.20	3.00	2.56
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	50.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	0
46–60	4	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Levski	Draw	Ludogorets	How it works
Strength (Elo)	47.5%	23.0%	29.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	48.4%	29.9%	21.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.23–0.71 Model expected goals

30.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

35.9% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 17.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-017.6%

0-014.4%

1-112.6%

2-010.8%

0-110.2%

2-17.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Levski	Ludogorets	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1589	1566	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	80	58	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1489	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Levski	0.56	1.78	0.00	0.44
Ludogorets	1.00	0.78	0.33	0.44

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Levski	11%	11%	11%	44%	22%
Ludogorets	0%	11%	44%	33%	11%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Levski at home, 5 matches

2.50 Ludogorets away, 4 matches

7d Days of rest for Levski

6d Days of rest for Ludogorets

— Manager of Levski

— Manager of Ludogorets

1 Matches for Levski in the last 14 days

2 Matches for Ludogorets in the last 14 days

0 Points for Levski behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Ludogorets behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Levski, the right bar represents Ludogorets.

On the ball

20 matches

5.57

corners

5.11

9.56

fouls

9.67

1.4

yellow cards

2.17

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Levski	DWWWWWWWW	2.78	2.33–0.44	1D
Ludogorets	WWDDWWWWW	2.56	1.78–0.78	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Levski	4	5	0	0	0
Ludogorets	5	3	1	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Levski

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ludogorets

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.