Lok Plovdiv

Lok Plovdiv

VS Scheduled Monday 26 Oct 202615:00

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 12

Slavia Sofia

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–1CSKA Sofia
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Plovdiv2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-09-06	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
2026-08-28	26/27	CSKA 19482–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-24	26/27	Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda
2026-08-16	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–2Dunav
2026-08-07	26/27	Levski2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-03	26/27	Spartak Varna1–0Lok Plovdiv

Slavia Sofia

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–2CSKA 1948
2026-09-13	26/27	Slavia Sofia0–0Spartak Varna
2026-09-07	26/27	Dunav0–1Slavia Sofia
2026-09-02	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–2Levski
2026-08-28	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–1Septemvri
2026-08-22	26/27	Ludogorets1–1Slavia Sofia
2026-08-10	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–3Slavia Sofia
2026-07-31	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–1Lokomotiv Sf

Lok Plovdiv Slavia Sofia

Wins

12%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

12%

38%

Both teams scored

25%

62%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lok Plovdiv

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Lok Plovdiv		Levski	1
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–1	CSKA Sofia	2	10′ Home
12	Lok Plovdiv		Ludogorets	3
12	Lok Plovdiv		CSKA 1948	4
12	Lok Plovdiv	0–1	Arda	5	65′ Away
12	Lok Plovdiv		Botev Plovdiv	6
12	Lok Plovdiv		Slavia Sofia	7
12	Lok Plovdiv		Spartak Varna	8
12	Lok Plovdiv		Botev Vratsa	9
12	Lok Plovdiv	2–1	Septemvri	10	5′ Home
12	Lok Plovdiv		Lokomotiv Sf	11
12 · Lok Plovdiv
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–0	Cherno More	13	21′ Home
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–2	Dunav	14	4′ Home

Slavia Sofia

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski		Slavia Sofia	7
2	CSKA Sofia		Slavia Sofia	7
3	Ludogorets	1–1	Slavia Sofia	7	7′ Away
4	CSKA 1948		Slavia Sofia	7
5	Arda	1–0	Slavia Sofia	7	90+3′ Home
6	Botev Plovdiv		Slavia Sofia	7
7 · Slavia Sofia
8	Spartak Varna		Slavia Sofia	7
9	Botev Vratsa	0–3	Slavia Sofia	7	56′ Away
10	Septemvri		Slavia Sofia	7
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Slavia Sofia	7
12	Lok Plovdiv		Slavia Sofia	7
13	Cherno More		Slavia Sofia	7
14	Dunav	0–1	Slavia Sofia	7	66′ Away

Lok Plovdiv Home Slavia Sofia Away

Wins

40%

50%

Over 1.5

60%

50%

Over 2.5

40%

25%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

60%

25%

Clean sheets

20%

50%

Scores first

80%

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lok Plovdiv

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.40	0.00	0.70
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	10.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.60	1.30
Total goals / match	2.00	1.60	1.80
Failed to score	20.0%	100.0%	60.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 4	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 4	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	2
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Slavia Sofia

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	0.67	1.75	1.10
Draws	66.7%	25.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	0.67	1.25	0.90
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.50	0.80
Total goals / match	1.67	1.75	1.70
Failed to score	33.3%	25.0%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	75.0%	70.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 3	0%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lok Plovdiv	Draw	Slavia Sofia	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.1%	24.6%	36.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	21.5%	34.6%	43.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.59–0.98 Model expected goals

21.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

27.9% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 20.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-020.7%

0-120.4%

1-012.2%

1-112.0%

0-210.0%

1-25.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lok Plovdiv	Slavia Sofia	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1449	1496	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-43	-2	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1509	1507	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lok Plovdiv	0.40	0.10	0.80	0.50
Slavia Sofia	0.30	0.60	0.20	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lok Plovdiv	0%	40%	40%	20%	0%
Slavia Sofia	20%	20%	30%	30%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Lok Plovdiv at home, 5 matches

1.75 Slavia Sofia away, 4 matches

36d Days of rest for Lok Plovdiv

38d Days of rest for Slavia Sofia

— Manager of Lok Plovdiv

— Manager of Slavia Sofia

0 Matches for Lok Plovdiv in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Slavia Sofia in the last 14 days

18 Points for Lok Plovdiv behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Slavia Sofia behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lok Plovdiv, the right bar represents Slavia Sofia.

On the ball

20 matches

4.44

corners

4.44

11.8

fouls

13.5

2.7

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lok Plovdiv	DLWLLLLLWL	0.70	0.50–1.30	1D
Slavia Sofia	LDWLDDWDLD	1.10	0.90–0.80	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lok Plovdiv	2	3	5	0	1
Slavia Sofia	1	9	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lok Plovdiv

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Slavia Sofia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.