CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

VS Scheduled Monday 26 Oct 202617:30

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 12

Ludogorets

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–1CSKA Sofia
2026-09-16	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf0–2CSKA Sofia
2026-09-12	26/27	CSKA Sofia4–1Arda
2026-09-05	26/27	Spartak Varna1–1CSKA Sofia
2026-08-30	26/27	CSKA Sofia3–1Cherno More
2026-08-16	26/27	CSKA Sofia5–0Botev Vratsa
2026-08-09	26/27	Septemvri0–3CSKA Sofia
2026-08-02	26/27	CSKA Sofia2–1Dunav

Ludogorets

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-14	26/27	Ludogorets2–1Septemvri
2026-09-06	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–2Ludogorets
2026-08-30	26/27	Spartak Varna1–1Ludogorets
2026-08-22	26/27	Ludogorets1–1Slavia Sofia
2026-08-15	26/27	Ludogorets2–0Botev Plovdiv
2026-08-09	26/27	Cherno More2–3Ludogorets
2026-08-02	26/27	Ludogorets2–1Botev Vratsa
2026-07-27	26/27	Dunav0–2Ludogorets

CSKA Sofia Ludogorets

Wins

75%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

38%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

CSKA Sofia

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
2	CSKA Sofia		Levski	1
2 · CSKA Sofia
2	CSKA Sofia		Ludogorets	3
2	CSKA Sofia		CSKA 1948	4
2	CSKA Sofia	4–1	Arda	5	1′ Away
2	CSKA Sofia	3–2	Botev Plovdiv	6	38′ Away
2	CSKA Sofia		Slavia Sofia	7
2	CSKA Sofia		Spartak Varna	8
2	CSKA Sofia	5–0	Botev Vratsa	9	12′ Home
2	CSKA Sofia		Septemvri	10
2	CSKA Sofia		Lokomotiv Sf	11
2	CSKA Sofia		Lok Plovdiv	12
2	CSKA Sofia	3–1	Cherno More	13	20′ Home
2	CSKA Sofia	2–1	Dunav	14	9′ Away

Ludogorets

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski		Ludogorets	3
2	CSKA Sofia		Ludogorets	3
3 · Ludogorets
4	CSKA 1948		Ludogorets	3
5	Arda		Ludogorets	3
6	Botev Plovdiv		Ludogorets	3
7	Slavia Sofia		Ludogorets	3
8	Spartak Varna	1–1	Ludogorets	3	64′ Home
9	Botev Vratsa		Ludogorets	3
10	Septemvri		Ludogorets	3
11	Lokomotiv Sf	1–2	Ludogorets	3	4′ Away
12	Lok Plovdiv		Ludogorets	3
13	Cherno More	2–3	Ludogorets	3	30′ Home
14	Dunav	0–2	Ludogorets	3	14′ Away

CSKA Sofia Home Ludogorets Away

Wins

100%

75%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

50%

Over 3.5

80%

25%

Both teams scored

80%

75%

Clean sheets

20%

25%

Scores first

40%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

CSKA Sofia

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.80	2.40
Draws	0.0%	60.0%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	3.40	1.40	2.40
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.40	0.70
Total goals / match	4.40	1.80	3.10
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	80.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	3 of 3	100%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	2
16–30	3	0
31–45	3	2
46–60	2	0
61–75	3	0
76–90	5	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ludogorets

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.60	2.50	2.56
Draws	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.60	2.00	1.78
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.00	0.78
Total goals / match	2.20	3.00	2.56
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	50.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	0
46–60	4	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	CSKA Sofia	Draw	Ludogorets	How it works
Strength (Elo)	46.6%	23.3%	30.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	41.1%	28.0%	30.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.27–1.05 Model expected goals

40.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

46.5% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-113.1%

1-012.5%

0-110.4%

0-09.9%

2-18.3%

2-07.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	CSKA Sofia	Ludogorets	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1581	1566	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	80	58	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1481	1489	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
CSKA Sofia	1.10	1.30	0.60	0.10
Ludogorets	1.00	0.78	0.33	0.44

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
CSKA Sofia	10%	0%	30%	20%	40%
Ludogorets	0%	11%	44%	33%	11%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 CSKA Sofia at home, 5 matches

2.50 Ludogorets away, 4 matches

36d Days of rest for CSKA Sofia

42d Days of rest for Ludogorets

— Manager of CSKA Sofia

— Manager of Ludogorets

0 Matches for CSKA Sofia in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Ludogorets in the last 14 days

1 Points for CSKA Sofia behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Ludogorets behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents CSKA Sofia, the right bar represents Ludogorets.

On the ball

20 matches

8.11

corners

5.11

12.5

fouls

9.67

2.33

yellow cards

2.17

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
CSKA Sofia	DWWDWWWWWD	2.40	2.40–0.70	1D
Ludogorets	WWDDWWWWW	2.56	1.78–0.78	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
CSKA Sofia	4	6	0	0	0
Ludogorets	5	3	1	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

CSKA Sofia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ludogorets

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.