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Arda
VS Scheduled Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 14
Septemvri

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
ArdaWins
0
Draws100.0% of meetings
1
SeptemvriWins
0
Goals per match
2.00
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-07-18 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Septemvri1–1Arda
Recent matches

Arda

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Arda1–1Cherno More
2026-09-12 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 CSKA Sofia4–1Arda
2026-09-04 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Arda2–3Botev Plovdiv
2026-08-31 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Arda2–0Botev Vratsa
2026-08-24 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda
2026-08-17 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Arda3–1Lokomotiv Sf
2026-08-08 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Dunav0–2Arda
2026-07-31 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 CSKA 19482–1Arda

Septemvri

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Septemvri0–3Botev Plovdiv
2026-09-14 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Ludogorets2–1Septemvri
2026-09-04 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Septemvri2–3Botev Vratsa
2026-08-28 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Slavia Sofia1–1Septemvri
2026-08-23 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Septemvri1–0CSKA 1948
2026-08-17 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Spartak Varna0–1Septemvri
2026-08-09 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Septemvri0–3CSKA Sofia
2026-08-01 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Levski3–0Septemvri
Arda Septemvri

Wins

50%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
62%

Both teams scored

62%
38%

Clean sheets

38%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Arda

Home · First League
HomeAway1st goal
5 Arda Levski 1
5 Arda CSKA Sofia 2
5 Arda Ludogorets 3
5 Arda CSKA 1948 4
5 · Arda
5 Arda 2–3 Botev Plovdiv 6 20′ Away
5 Arda 1–0 Slavia Sofia 7 90+3′ Home
5 Arda Spartak Varna 8
5 Arda 2–0 Botev Vratsa 9 60′ Home
5 Arda Septemvri 10
5 Arda 3–1 Lokomotiv Sf 11 31′ Home
5 Arda Lok Plovdiv 12
5 Arda 1–1 Cherno More 13 70′ Away
5 Arda Dunav 14

Septemvri

Away · First League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Levski 3–0 Septemvri 10 34′ Home
2 CSKA Sofia Septemvri 10
3 Ludogorets 2–1 Septemvri 10 21′ Home
4 CSKA 1948 Septemvri 10
5 Arda Septemvri 10
6 Botev Plovdiv Septemvri 10
7 Slavia Sofia 1–1 Septemvri 10 —
8 Spartak Varna 0–1 Septemvri 10 61′ Away
9 Botev Vratsa Septemvri 10
10 · Septemvri
11 Lokomotiv Sf Septemvri 10
12 Lok Plovdiv 2–1 Septemvri 10 5′ Home
13 Cherno More Septemvri 10
14 Dunav Septemvri 10
Arda Home Septemvri Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Arda

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway5 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match2.001.401.70
Draws20.0%20.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.801.201.50
Goals conceded / match1.001.401.20
Total goals / match2.802.602.70
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%60.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3001
31–4521
46–6011
61–7512
76–9050

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Septemvri

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway5 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match0.800.800.80
Draws20.0%20.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match0.800.800.80
Goals conceded / match2.001.601.80
Total goals / match2.802.402.60
Failed to score40.0%20.0%30.0%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%40.0%40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelArdaDraw SeptemvriHow it works
Strength (Elo) 53.8% 20.8% 25.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 60.4% 22.4% 16.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.83–0.81 Model expected goals
47.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
45.9% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-013.1%
2-012.0%
1-110.6%
2-19.7%
3-07.3%
0-07.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureArdaSeptemvri How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1517 1447 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 15 -51 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1485 1511 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Arda 0.600.90 0.400.80
Septemvri 0.100.70 0.701.10

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Arda 0%20%40%10%30%
Septemvri 0%20%20%50%10%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Arda at home, 5 matches
0.80 Septemvri away, 5 matches
44d Days of rest for Arda
44d Days of rest for Septemvri
— Manager of Arda
— Manager of Septemvri
0 Matches for Arda in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Septemvri in the last 14 days
8 Points for Arda behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
17 Points for Septemvri behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.67 League goals per match
24.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Arda, the right bar represents Septemvri.

On the ball

20 matches
3.7
corners
4.25
11.9
fouls
14.3
3.5
yellow cards
2.8

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Arda DLLWWWWLWD 1.70 1.50–1.20 1D
Septemvri LLLDWWLLLD 0.80 0.80–1.80 3L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Arda3 61 01
Septemvri0 46 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Arda

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Septemvri

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.