Botev Vratsa

Botev Vratsa

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202611:30

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 13

Lok Plovdiv

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Dunav2–2Botev Vratsa
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–0Levski
2026-09-04	26/27	Septemvri2–3Botev Vratsa
2026-08-31	26/27	Arda2–0Botev Vratsa
2026-08-24	26/27	Botev Vratsa1–0Botev Plovdiv
2026-08-16	26/27	CSKA Sofia5–0Botev Vratsa
2026-08-10	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–3Slavia Sofia
2026-08-02	26/27	Ludogorets2–1Botev Vratsa

Lok Plovdiv

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–1CSKA Sofia
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Plovdiv2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-09-06	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
2026-08-28	26/27	CSKA 19482–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-24	26/27	Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda
2026-08-16	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–2Dunav
2026-08-07	26/27	Levski2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-03	26/27	Spartak Varna1–0Lok Plovdiv

Botev Vratsa Lok Plovdiv

Wins

25%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

12%

Both teams scored

38%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Botev Vratsa

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Botev Vratsa	0–0	Levski	1	–
9	Botev Vratsa		CSKA Sofia	2
9	Botev Vratsa		Ludogorets	3
9	Botev Vratsa		CSKA 1948	4
9	Botev Vratsa		Arda	5
9	Botev Vratsa	1–0	Botev Plovdiv	6	22′ Home
9	Botev Vratsa	0–3	Slavia Sofia	7	56′ Away
9	Botev Vratsa		Spartak Varna	8
9 · Botev Vratsa
9	Botev Vratsa		Septemvri	10
9	Botev Vratsa		Lokomotiv Sf	11
9	Botev Vratsa		Lok Plovdiv	12
9	Botev Vratsa	1–1	Cherno More	13	70′ Away
9	Botev Vratsa		Dunav	14

Lok Plovdiv

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski	2–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	5′ Home
2	CSKA Sofia		Lok Plovdiv	12
3	Ludogorets	1–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	45+1′ Home
4	CSKA 1948	2–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	45+2′ Home
5	Arda		Lok Plovdiv	12
6	Botev Plovdiv	2–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	9′ Home
7	Slavia Sofia		Lok Plovdiv	12
8	Spartak Varna	1–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	8′ Home
9	Botev Vratsa		Lok Plovdiv	12
10	Septemvri		Lok Plovdiv	12
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Lok Plovdiv	12
12 · Lok Plovdiv
13	Cherno More		Lok Plovdiv	12
14	Dunav		Lok Plovdiv	12

Botev Vratsa Home Lok Plovdiv Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

50%

60%

Over 2.5

25%

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

25%

0%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

25%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Botev Vratsa

10 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away6 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.25	0.67	0.90
Draws	50.0%	16.7%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.17	0.90
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.50	1.90
Total goals / match	1.50	3.67	2.80
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	16.7%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lok Plovdiv

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.40	0.00	0.70
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	10.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.60	1.30
Total goals / match	2.00	1.60	1.80
Failed to score	20.0%	100.0%	60.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 5	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	3
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	3
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Botev Vratsa	Draw	Lok Plovdiv	How it works
Strength (Elo)	46.7%	23.2%	30.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	32.0%	35.5%	32.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.79–0.80 Model expected goals

21.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

30.1% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 20.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-020.4%

0-116.3%

1-016.1%

1-112.9%

0-26.5%

2-06.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Botev Vratsa	Lok Plovdiv	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1466	1449	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-33	-43	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1509	1509	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Botev Vratsa	0.30	0.60	0.70	1.20
Lok Plovdiv	0.40	0.10	0.80	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Botev Vratsa	10%	10%	20%	30%	30%
Lok Plovdiv	0%	40%	40%	20%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.25 Botev Vratsa at home, 4 matches

0.00 Lok Plovdiv away, 5 matches

49d Days of rest for Botev Vratsa

48d Days of rest for Lok Plovdiv

— Manager of Botev Vratsa

— Manager of Lok Plovdiv

0 Matches for Botev Vratsa in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Lok Plovdiv in the last 14 days

16 Points for Botev Vratsa behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

18 Points for Lok Plovdiv behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Botev Vratsa, the right bar represents Lok Plovdiv.

On the ball

20 matches

4.4

corners

4.44

12.1

fouls

11.8

2.14

yellow cards

2.7

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Botev Vratsa	DDWLWLLLLD	0.90	0.90–1.90	2D
Lok Plovdiv	DLWLLLLLWL	0.70	0.50–1.30	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Botev Vratsa	2	4	4	0	0
Lok Plovdiv	2	3	5	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Botev Vratsa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lok Plovdiv

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.