Slavia Sofia

Slavia Sofia

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202614:00

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 13

Cherno More

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–2CSKA 1948
2026-09-13	26/27	Slavia Sofia0–0Spartak Varna
2026-09-07	26/27	Dunav0–1Slavia Sofia
2026-09-02	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–2Levski
2026-08-28	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–1Septemvri
2026-08-22	26/27	Ludogorets1–1Slavia Sofia
2026-08-10	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–3Slavia Sofia
2026-07-31	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–1Lokomotiv Sf

Cherno More

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Arda1–1Cherno More
2026-09-11	26/27	Cherno More2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-06	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
2026-08-30	26/27	CSKA Sofia3–1Cherno More
2026-08-21	26/27	Cherno More3–1Dunav
2026-08-14	26/27	CSKA 19484–1Cherno More
2026-08-09	26/27	Cherno More2–3Ludogorets
2026-08-01	26/27	Botev Plovdiv1–0Cherno More

Slavia Sofia Cherno More

Wins

25%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Slavia Sofia

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Slavia Sofia	1–2	Levski	1	57′ Home
7	Slavia Sofia	0–0	CSKA Sofia	2	–
7	Slavia Sofia		Ludogorets	3
7	Slavia Sofia	1–2	CSKA 1948	4	41′ Home
7	Slavia Sofia		Arda	5
7	Slavia Sofia		Botev Plovdiv	6
7 · Slavia Sofia
7	Slavia Sofia	0–0	Spartak Varna	8	–
7	Slavia Sofia		Botev Vratsa	9
7	Slavia Sofia	1–1	Septemvri	10	—
7	Slavia Sofia	1–1	Lokomotiv Sf	11	36′ Away
7	Slavia Sofia		Lok Plovdiv	12
7	Slavia Sofia		Cherno More	13
7	Slavia Sofia		Dunav	14

Cherno More

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski		Cherno More	13
2	CSKA Sofia	3–1	Cherno More	13	20′ Home
3	Ludogorets		Cherno More	13
4	CSKA 1948	4–1	Cherno More	13	10′ Away
5	Arda	1–1	Cherno More	13	70′ Away
6	Botev Plovdiv	1–0	Cherno More	13	23′ Home
7	Slavia Sofia		Cherno More	13
8	Spartak Varna		Cherno More	13
9	Botev Vratsa	1–1	Cherno More	13	70′ Away
10	Septemvri		Cherno More	13
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Cherno More	13
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–0	Cherno More	13	21′ Home
13 · Cherno More
14	Dunav		Cherno More	13

Slavia Sofia Home Cherno More Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

67%

Over 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

N/A

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Slavia Sofia

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	0.67	1.75	1.10
Draws	66.7%	25.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	0.67	1.25	0.90
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.50	0.80
Total goals / match	1.67	1.75	1.70
Failed to score	33.3%	25.0%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	75.0%	70.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 5/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Cherno More

10 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away6 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.33	0.60
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	1.75	0.67	1.10
Goals conceded / match	2.25	1.83	2.00
Total goals / match	4.00	2.50	3.10
Failed to score	25.0%	33.3%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	66.7%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 3	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 3	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	4
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	2
76–90	0	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Slavia Sofia	Draw	Cherno More	How it works
Strength (Elo)	50.7%	22.0%	27.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	47.3%	30.0%	22.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.22–0.74 Model expected goals

31.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.7% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 17.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-017.2%

0-014.1%

1-112.7%

2-010.5%

0-110.4%

2-17.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Slavia Sofia	Cherno More	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1496	1449	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-2	-52	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1507	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Slavia Sofia	0.30	0.60	0.20	0.60
Cherno More	0.50	0.60	0.60	1.40

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Slavia Sofia	20%	20%	30%	30%	0%
Cherno More	0%	20%	20%	10%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.67 Slavia Sofia at home, 6 matches

0.33 Cherno More away, 6 matches

50d Days of rest for Slavia Sofia

49d Days of rest for Cherno More

— Manager of Slavia Sofia

— Manager of Cherno More

0 Matches for Slavia Sofia in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Cherno More in the last 14 days

14 Points for Slavia Sofia behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

19 Points for Cherno More behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Slavia Sofia, the right bar represents Cherno More.

On the ball

20 matches

4.44

corners

5.33

13.5

fouls

12.7

3.0

yellow cards

3.11

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Slavia Sofia	LDWLDDWDLD	1.10	0.90–0.80	1L
Cherno More	DDLLWLLLLD	0.60	1.10–2.00	2D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Slavia Sofia	1	9	0	0	1
Cherno More	2	4	4	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Slavia Sofia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Cherno More

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.