Ludogorets

Ludogorets

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202616:30

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 13

CSKA 1948

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-14	26/27	Ludogorets2–1Septemvri
2026-09-06	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–2Ludogorets
2026-08-30	26/27	Spartak Varna1–1Ludogorets
2026-08-22	26/27	Ludogorets1–1Slavia Sofia
2026-08-15	26/27	Ludogorets2–0Botev Plovdiv
2026-08-09	26/27	Cherno More2–3Ludogorets
2026-08-02	26/27	Ludogorets2–1Botev Vratsa
2026-07-27	26/27	Dunav0–2Ludogorets

CSKA 1948

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–2CSKA 1948
2026-09-12	26/27	CSKA 19482–1Dunav
2026-09-05	26/27	Levski1–0CSKA 1948
2026-08-28	26/27	CSKA 19482–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-23	26/27	Septemvri1–0CSKA 1948
2026-08-14	26/27	CSKA 19484–1Cherno More
2026-08-08	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–3CSKA 1948
2026-07-31	26/27	CSKA 19482–1Arda

Ludogorets CSKA 1948

Wins

75%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

62%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ludogorets

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Ludogorets		Levski	1
3	Ludogorets		CSKA Sofia	2
3 · Ludogorets
3	Ludogorets		CSKA 1948	4
3	Ludogorets		Arda	5
3	Ludogorets	2–0	Botev Plovdiv	6	—
3	Ludogorets	1–1	Slavia Sofia	7	7′ Away
3	Ludogorets		Spartak Varna	8
3	Ludogorets	2–1	Botev Vratsa	9	22′ Home
3	Ludogorets	2–1	Septemvri	10	21′ Home
3	Ludogorets		Lokomotiv Sf	11
3	Ludogorets	1–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	45+1′ Home
3	Ludogorets		Cherno More	13
3	Ludogorets		Dunav	14

CSKA 1948

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski	1–0	CSKA 1948	4	58′ Home
2	CSKA Sofia		CSKA 1948	4
3	Ludogorets		CSKA 1948	4
4 · CSKA 1948
5	Arda		CSKA 1948	4
6	Botev Plovdiv		CSKA 1948	4
7	Slavia Sofia	1–2	CSKA 1948	4	41′ Home
8	Spartak Varna	2–2	CSKA 1948	4	13′ Home
9	Botev Vratsa		CSKA 1948	4
10	Septemvri	1–0	CSKA 1948	4	59′ Home
11	Lokomotiv Sf	1–3	CSKA 1948	4	53′ Away
12	Lok Plovdiv		CSKA 1948	4
13	Cherno More		CSKA 1948	4
14	Dunav		CSKA 1948	4

Ludogorets Home CSKA 1948 Away

Wins

80%

40%

Over 1.5

80%

60%

Over 2.5

40%

60%

Over 3.5

0%

40%

Both teams scored

60%

Clean sheets

40%

0%

Scores first

80%

20%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ludogorets

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.60	2.50	2.56
Draws	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.60	2.00	1.78
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.00	0.78
Total goals / match	2.20	3.00	2.56
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	50.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 4	100%
Scores first → wins	4 of 4	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

CSKA 1948

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.40	2.20
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	10.0%
Goals scored / match	2.40	1.40	1.90
Goals conceded / match	0.80	1.20	1.00
Total goals / match	3.20	2.60	2.90
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	40.0%	30.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 4	25%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	2
46–60	3	2
61–75	1	0
76–90	3	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ludogorets	Draw	CSKA 1948	How it works
Strength (Elo)	46.1%	23.4%	30.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	35.2%	27.3%	37.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.20–1.25 Model expected goals

44.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

49.7% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.9%

0-110.7%

1-010.4%

0-08.6%

1-28.1%

2-17.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ludogorets	CSKA 1948	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1566	1554	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	58	52	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1489	1492	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ludogorets	1.00	0.78	0.33	0.44
CSKA 1948	0.50	1.40	0.50	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ludogorets	0%	11%	44%	33%	11%
CSKA 1948	0%	20%	10%	40%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.60 Ludogorets at home, 5 matches

1.40 CSKA 1948 away, 5 matches

54d Days of rest for Ludogorets

50d Days of rest for CSKA 1948

— Manager of Ludogorets

— Manager of CSKA 1948

0 Matches for Ludogorets in the last 14 days

0 Matches for CSKA 1948 in the last 14 days

2 Points for Ludogorets behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone

3 Points for CSKA 1948 behind the leaders, and 15 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ludogorets, the right bar represents CSKA 1948.

On the ball

20 matches

5.11

corners

4.56

9.67

fouls

9.6

2.17

yellow cards

1.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ludogorets	WWDDWWWWW	2.56	1.78–0.78	2W
CSKA 1948	WWLWLWWWWD	2.20	1.90–1.00	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ludogorets	5	3	1	1	0
CSKA 1948	3	5	2	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ludogorets

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

CSKA 1948

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.