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Arda
VS Scheduled Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 17
Dunav

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
ArdaWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
DunavWins
0
Goals per match
2.00
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
0.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-08 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Dunav0–2Arda
Recent matches

Arda

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Arda1–1Cherno More
2026-09-12 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 CSKA Sofia4–1Arda
2026-09-04 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Arda2–3Botev Plovdiv
2026-08-31 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Arda2–0Botev Vratsa
2026-08-24 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda
2026-08-17 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Arda3–1Lokomotiv Sf
2026-08-08 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Dunav0–2Arda
2026-07-31 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 CSKA 19482–1Arda

Dunav

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Dunav2–2Botev Vratsa
2026-09-12 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 CSKA 19482–1Dunav
2026-09-07 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Dunav0–1Slavia Sofia
2026-08-31 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Dunav2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-08-21 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Cherno More3–1Dunav
2026-08-16 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lok Plovdiv1–2Dunav
2026-08-08 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Dunav0–2Arda
2026-08-02 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 CSKA Sofia2–1Dunav
Arda Dunav

Wins

50%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
75%

Both teams scored

62%
75%

Clean sheets

38%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Arda

Home · First League
HomeAway1st goal
5 Arda Levski 1
5 Arda CSKA Sofia 2
5 Arda Ludogorets 3
5 Arda CSKA 1948 4
5 · Arda
5 Arda 2–3 Botev Plovdiv 6 20′ Away
5 Arda 1–0 Slavia Sofia 7 90+3′ Home
5 Arda Spartak Varna 8
5 Arda 2–0 Botev Vratsa 9 60′ Home
5 Arda Septemvri 10
5 Arda 3–1 Lokomotiv Sf 11 31′ Home
5 Arda Lok Plovdiv 12
5 Arda 1–1 Cherno More 13 70′ Away
5 Arda Dunav 14

Dunav

Away · First League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Levski 2–1 Dunav 14 22′ Home
2 CSKA Sofia 2–1 Dunav 14 9′ Away
3 Ludogorets Dunav 14
4 CSKA 1948 2–1 Dunav 14 4′ Home
5 Arda Dunav 14
6 Botev Plovdiv Dunav 14
7 Slavia Sofia Dunav 14
8 Spartak Varna Dunav 14
9 Botev Vratsa Dunav 14
10 Septemvri Dunav 14
11 Lokomotiv Sf Dunav 14
12 Lok Plovdiv 1–2 Dunav 14 4′ Home
13 Cherno More 3–1 Dunav 14 55′ Home
14 · Dunav
Arda Home Dunav Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Arda

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway5 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match2.001.401.70
Draws20.0%20.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.801.201.50
Goals conceded / match1.001.401.20
Total goals / match2.802.602.70
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%60.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3001
31–4521
46–6011
61–7512
76–9050

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Dunav

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway5 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match0.400.600.50
Draws40.0%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match0.801.201.00
Goals conceded / match1.802.001.90
Total goals / match2.603.202.90
Failed to score60.0%0.0%30.0%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%0.0%30.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 4 25%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1512
16–3002
31–4500
46–6011
61–7521
76–9024

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelArdaDraw DunavHow it works
Strength (Elo) 55.7% 20.0% 24.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 57.4% 21.9% 19.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.93–1.01 Model expected goals
54.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
53.4% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.3%
1-010.2%
2-19.9%
2-09.8%
3-16.4%
3-06.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureArdaDunav How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1517 1433 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 15 -59 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1485 1492 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Arda 0.600.90 0.400.80
Dunav 0.400.60 0.701.20

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Arda 0%20%40%10%30%
Dunav 0%10%20%40%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Arda at home, 5 matches
0.60 Dunav away, 5 matches
77d Days of rest for Arda
77d Days of rest for Dunav
— Manager of Arda
— Manager of Dunav
0 Matches for Arda in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Dunav in the last 14 days
8 Points for Arda behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
20 Points for Dunav behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
2.67 League goals per match
24.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Arda, the right bar represents Dunav.

On the ball

20 matches
3.7
corners
3.89
11.9
fouls
10.3
3.5
yellow cards
2.33

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Arda DLLWWWWLWD 1.70 1.50–1.20 1D
Dunav DLLDLWLLLL 0.50 1.00–1.90 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Arda3 61 01
Dunav2 35 12
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Arda

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Dunav

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.