Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- ArdaWins
- 1
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Lok PlovdivWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 0.0%
- Both teams scored
- 0.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda |
Recent matches
Arda
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Arda1–1Cherno More |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
CSKA Sofia4–1Arda |
| 2026-09-04 |
26/27
|
Arda2–3Botev Plovdiv |
| 2026-08-31 |
26/27
|
Arda2–0Botev Vratsa |
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda |
| 2026-08-17 |
26/27
|
Arda3–1Lokomotiv Sf |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Dunav0–2Arda |
| 2026-07-31 |
26/27
|
CSKA 19482–1Arda |
Lok Plovdiv
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Lok Plovdiv1–1CSKA Sofia |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Botev Plovdiv2–0Lok Plovdiv |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
CSKA 19482–0Lok Plovdiv |
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
Lok Plovdiv1–2Dunav |
| 2026-08-07 |
26/27
|
Levski2–0Lok Plovdiv |
| 2026-08-03 |
26/27
|
Spartak Varna1–0Lok Plovdiv |
Arda
Lok Plovdiv
Wins
50%
12%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
12%
Both teams scored
62%
25%
Clean sheets
38%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Arda
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arda | Levski | 1 | ||
| 5 | Arda | CSKA Sofia | 2 | ||
| 5 | Arda | Ludogorets | 3 | ||
| 5 | Arda | CSKA 1948 | 4 | ||
| 5 · Arda | |||||
| 5 | Arda | 2–3 | Botev Plovdiv | 6 | 20′ Away |
| 5 | Arda | 1–0 | Slavia Sofia | 7 | 90+3′ Home |
| 5 | Arda | Spartak Varna | 8 | ||
| 5 | Arda | 2–0 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 60′ Home |
| 5 | Arda | Septemvri | 10 | ||
| 5 | Arda | 3–1 | Lokomotiv Sf | 11 | 31′ Home |
| 5 | Arda | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | ||
| 5 | Arda | 1–1 | Cherno More | 13 | 70′ Away |
| 5 | Arda | Dunav | 14 | ||
Lok Plovdiv
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski | 2–0 | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | 5′ Home |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | ||
| 3 | Ludogorets | 1–0 | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | 45+1′ Home |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 2–0 | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | 45+2′ Home |
| 5 | Arda | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | ||
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 2–0 | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | 9′ Home |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | ||
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 1–0 | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | 8′ Home |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | ||
| 10 | Septemvri | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | ||
| 11 | Lokomotiv Sf | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | ||
| 12 · Lok Plovdiv | |||||
| 13 | Cherno More | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | ||
| 14 | Dunav | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | ||
Arda Home
Lok Plovdiv Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Arda
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away5 matches | Overall10 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.00 | 1.40 | 1.70 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.80 | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Total goals / match | 2.80 | 2.60 | 2.70 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 33 of 7 | 33%43% |
| Scores first → wins | 3 of 35 of 7 | 100%71% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 20 of 3 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 5/5 home.Scoring order known: 10/10 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 2 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 5 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Lok Plovdiv
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away5 matches | Overall10 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Total goals / match | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 100.0% | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60.0% | 100.0% | 80.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 02 of 4 | —50% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 02 of 4 | —50% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 50 of 6 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 5/5 away.Scoring order known: 10/10 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 3 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 3 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Arda | Draw | Lok Plovdiv | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 53.5% | 20.9% | 25.6% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 56.8% | 28.8% | 14.2% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.32–0.50
Model expected goals
27.3%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
28.9%
Both teams to score
1-0
Most likely score, at 21.3%
Most likely scores
1-021.3%
0-016.1%
2-014.0%
1-110.7%
0-18.1%
2-17.1%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Arda | Lok Plovdiv | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1517 | 1449 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 15 | -43 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1485 | 1509 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Lok Plovdiv | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda | 0% | 20% | 40% | 10% | 30% |
| Lok Plovdiv | 0% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.00
Arda at home, 5 matches
0.00
Lok Plovdiv away, 5 matches
154d
Days of rest for Arda
153d
Days of rest for Lok Plovdiv
—
Manager of Arda
—
Manager of Lok Plovdiv
0
Matches for Arda in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Lok Plovdiv in the last 14 days
8
Points for Arda behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
18
Points for Lok Plovdiv behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.67
League goals per match
24.6%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Arda, the right bar represents Lok Plovdiv.
On the ball
3.7
4.44
corners
11.9
11.8
fouls
3.5
2.7
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda | DLLWWWWLWD | 1.70 | 1.50–1.20 | 1D |
| Lok Plovdiv | DLWLLLLLWL | 0.70 | 0.50–1.30 | 1D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Lok Plovdiv | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Arda
No absences reported.
Lok Plovdiv
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.