Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- Cherno MoreWins
- 0
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- CSKA SofiaWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 4.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
CSKA Sofia3–1Cherno More |
Recent matches
Cherno More
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Arda1–1Cherno More |
| 2026-09-11 |
26/27
|
Cherno More2–2Lokomotiv Sf |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
CSKA Sofia3–1Cherno More |
| 2026-08-21 |
26/27
|
Cherno More3–1Dunav |
| 2026-08-14 |
26/27
|
CSKA 19484–1Cherno More |
| 2026-08-09 |
26/27
|
Cherno More2–3Ludogorets |
| 2026-08-01 |
26/27
|
Botev Plovdiv1–0Cherno More |
CSKA Sofia
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Lok Plovdiv1–1CSKA Sofia |
| 2026-09-16 |
26/27
|
Lokomotiv Sf0–2CSKA Sofia |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
CSKA Sofia4–1Arda |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Spartak Varna1–1CSKA Sofia |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
CSKA Sofia3–1Cherno More |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
CSKA Sofia5–0Botev Vratsa |
| 2026-08-09 |
26/27
|
Septemvri0–3CSKA Sofia |
| 2026-08-02 |
26/27
|
CSKA Sofia2–1Dunav |
Cherno More
CSKA Sofia
Wins
12%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
62%
Both teams scored
75%
62%
Clean sheets
0%
38%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Cherno More
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cherno More | Levski | 1 | ||
| 13 | Cherno More | CSKA Sofia | 2 | ||
| 13 | Cherno More | 2–3 | Ludogorets | 3 | 30′ Home |
| 13 | Cherno More | CSKA 1948 | 4 | ||
| 13 | Cherno More | Arda | 5 | ||
| 13 | Cherno More | Botev Plovdiv | 6 | ||
| 13 | Cherno More | Slavia Sofia | 7 | ||
| 13 | Cherno More | 0–3 | Spartak Varna | 8 | 33′ Away |
| 13 | Cherno More | Botev Vratsa | 9 | ||
| 13 | Cherno More | Septemvri | 10 | ||
| 13 | Cherno More | 2–2 | Lokomotiv Sf | 11 | 6′ Home |
| 13 | Cherno More | Lok Plovdiv | 12 | ||
| 13 · Cherno More | |||||
| 13 | Cherno More | 3–1 | Dunav | 14 | 55′ Home |
CSKA Sofia
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski | CSKA Sofia | 2 | ||
| 2 · CSKA Sofia | |||||
| 3 | Ludogorets | CSKA Sofia | 2 | ||
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | ||
| 5 | Arda | CSKA Sofia | 2 | ||
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | CSKA Sofia | 2 | ||
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 0–0 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | – |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 1–1 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 18′ Away |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | CSKA Sofia | 2 | ||
| 10 | Septemvri | 0–3 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 45′ Away |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Sf | 0–2 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 37′ Away |
| 12 | Lok Plovdiv | 1–1 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 10′ Home |
| 13 | Cherno More | CSKA Sofia | 2 | ||
| 14 | Dunav | CSKA Sofia | 2 | ||
Cherno More Home
CSKA Sofia Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Cherno More
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away6 matches | Overall10 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.60 |
| Draws | 25.0% | 33.3% | 30.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.75 | 0.67 | 1.10 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.25 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Total goals / match | 4.00 | 2.50 | 3.10 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 33.3% | 30.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 66.7% | 40.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 32 of 6 | 67%33% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 31 of 6 | 33%17% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 10 of 4 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 4/4 home.Scoring order known: 10/10 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 3 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 3 | 3 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
CSKA Sofia
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away5 matches | Overall10 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 3.00 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 60.0% | 30.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 3.40 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| Total goals / match | 4.40 | 1.80 | 3.10 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 20.0% | 10.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 80.0% | 40.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 34 of 5 | 67%80% |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 34 of 5 | 67%80% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 13 of 4 | 0%75% |
Scoring order known: 5/5 away.Scoring order known: 10/10 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 2 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 2 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Cherno More | Draw | CSKA Sofia | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 30.5% | 23.4% | 46.1% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 4.7% | 10.5% | 76.7% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.59–2.97
Model expected goals
60.9%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
38.7%
Both teams to score
0-2
Most likely score, at 12.5%
Most likely scores
0-212.5%
0-312.4%
0-49.2%
0-18.4%
1-27.4%
1-37.3%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Cherno More | CSKA Sofia | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1449 | 1581 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -52 | 80 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1499 | 1481 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| CSKA Sofia | 1.10 | 1.30 | 0.60 | 0.10 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More | 0% | 20% | 20% | 10% | 50% |
| CSKA Sofia | 10% | 0% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.00
Cherno More at home, 4 matches
1.80
CSKA Sofia away, 5 matches
161d
Days of rest for Cherno More
160d
Days of rest for CSKA Sofia
—
Manager of Cherno More
—
Manager of CSKA Sofia
0
Matches for Cherno More in the last 14 days
0
Matches for CSKA Sofia in the last 14 days
19
Points for Cherno More behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
1
Points for CSKA Sofia behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone
2.67
League goals per match
24.6%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cherno More, the right bar represents CSKA Sofia.
On the ball
5.33
8.11
corners
12.7
12.5
fouls
3.11
2.33
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More | DDLLWLLLLD | 0.60 | 1.10–2.00 | 2D |
| CSKA Sofia | DWWDWWWWWD | 2.40 | 2.40–0.70 | 1D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| CSKA Sofia | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Cherno More
No absences reported.
CSKA Sofia
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.